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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. EPS would be a pretty good interior deal. Good high ahead of it. But, it did make a move west.
  2. S/w dives out west to the 4-corners, block forms, but no confluence to our north. Or very little. Where have we seen that? But, GEFS are much further east.
  3. Just going by the VP200, looks like it may swing towards P1. Looks unusually quick to do so, maybe it's CCKW driven? It also may evolve slower.
  4. Maybe Tip needs to elaborate. I'm not saying there won't be a ridge, but I don't think it gets much more amplitude than modeled. I took his post as saying guidance is underdoing it. Perhaps, but some of the other H5 features I think limit ridge amplitude. I could see a little more amplitude I suppose.
  5. Well Tip mentioned to expect bigger height changes, not sure I see that.
  6. I'm not sure it we'll see much of a ridge out west outside of the magnitude that's modeled now, for next weekend. That whole H5 look in the PAC up into AK IMO doesn't really argue for a big +PNA ridge. But, I do like the rotting Hudson Bay ridge and that trough in the east is a loaded gun. But, will it form a low over the BM, or a hugger....TBD.
  7. The EPS had some hints at this, and the op......well that's ugly lol. I don't have a sense either way, but hopefully people are objective. Potential is there for a big boy somewhere.
  8. What happens next weekend when the low is over NYC?
  9. You guys in the hills on rt 2, the DGZ dries out near 12z so thumpy is done, but erly flow 850 and below should allow lighter snows at least.
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