CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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NHC claimed it’s a 3 now. Was a 4 for an hour supposedly.
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Will be a 3 at landfall. EWRC. NHC has a 3.
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It’s a 3
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It’s warm regardless. No argument there. Installed and staying installed. ACATT threw parties and cheered summer is over. Now they’re apple picking with sacks stuck to thighs.
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Its definitely peaked from a pressure standpoint and likely wind too. At least based on satellite and radar presentation.
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IR and radar presentation would seem to argue it’s peaked or close to it. Eastern eyewall looks a little ragged. Western eyewall is a beast.
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I’ll have to run the numbers here Brian. Next week may make it interesting.
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Well next week could be a heat wave lol.
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Maybe for CON? I’m looking at SNE and that seems tough here. Probably depends on how many 90F days we can get.
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PF leaves Europe and they have mtn snows into France lol.
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EPS has a big high move overhead in the 11-15 day and H5 ridge retro west. I’d like to see more ridging in the east. It’s gonna be well AN for sure.
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Top 3 hottest? Yeah not sure about that.
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We welcome him for awhile. Might have to wait until after tomorrow.
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I think it’s also embedded in an area of overall anonymously lower pressure.
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TBW radar definitely showing convection wrapping around now. Yeah
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Definitely a better appearance on radar and satellite.
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At the time though it’s a little stretch to go 85 kts from 91 kts from FL winds. That was over 90 min ago too.
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Deep summer has been over, but summer continues.
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Finally see some signs of deeper convection wrapping around the center. Should this continue, you'll eventually see the center warm on IR imagery and clear out.
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So a random 91kt FL wind at 700mb translates to 100mph at the surface? Not sure how I feel about that.
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100? Could have fooled me.
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Good chance some spots near 90 for a few days next week. Sumtember.
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There is no way it goes that far south.
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Hurricanes are fickle. The environment has to be pristine for upper end 4-5s.
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Because satellite presentation to me says it has work to do. As others have stated, RI more likely overnight.
