CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I’d still watch next week too, especially interior. I just peaked at some EPS clusters and there’s definitely some wintry members.
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I’m leaning after 18-20 for something workable around here I think. Doesn’t mean we are shut out, but that’s where I feel more comfortable.
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Wankum said that? He would.
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I noticed yesterday it was about 1-2F behind stations at similar elevations.
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It’s been interesting to watch it transition to more of the mtn west side.
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LOL I wonder when this was fixed.
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Some of those MADIS assessments showed a big jump or discontinuity over a short time too. That's another red flag. Sometimes they drift over time. We aren't nitpicking over margin of error stuff. These are significant deviations it seems from local obs.
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The snowpack does help a bit with the source region. But that will get deeper to our N and NW over the next 6-10 days.
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Never let facts get in the way of an agenda. This actually happened at Logan too. They also had fog with a T/Td spread of 3F. It was called out my many Mets. Something finally changed and the results have been much better. This has nothing to do with biases or political nonsense. It's about getting data right. I just said how PVD is running cool.
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When it's reporting freezing rain at 34F and/or accumulating snow at 2"/hr at 34F, I would say a bias exists.
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KPVD may need a replacement. Going wild day and night. I will say a few times during the day I've noticed it, but seems cool at night.
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Many of the first order sites going back to 2022 are not running the departures like KORH is doing. KBOS could b +0.7 and KORH will be +2.2 on a monthly departure for example. Whether it's 1.5 or 2F isn't the point. If you are going to break records with faulty equipment, that is an issue.
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Myself and @ORH_wxman have noticed this consistent behavior. As someone who always looks at KORH and surrounding areas, this isn't some made up thing. KBOS had the same issue 4 years ago and was corrected. For the record, KPVD seems to have the opposite problem. It's been too cool.
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Just FYI on KORH. It has had a warm bias of nearly 2F over the last 2 years or so.
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Festive and frisky.
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Well that is mighty kind of you.
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Expectations low for you and I naturally...but I don't necessarily hate it for sure. If Ray got 10" and I had 2-3" of mashed...fine by me.
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Finally a high that is not modeled to move over a pod of right whales south of Nova Scotia.
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EPS like day 6. But as many of us mentioned...lots of s/w's in the flow. That's going to be tough for modeling...but at least there's some bullets in the chamber.
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NB
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Those MJO progression charts under forecast how the wave traverses the globe many times. Just keep that in mind. Look at how the previous weeks have progressed. You also get the sense of the progression on those charts past 12/19. I don't believe the wave will stop abruptly near the dateline. I do think we may begin to see a standing low frequency wave develop near the dateline, but it's a bit early to tell.
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Well that's different lol. I embrace the summer wx. I don't mind it. I still hate a "torch" in winter. Makes me want to put turf on my yard with the effing mud.
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You probably snow. There's actually another chance on ensembles later in week too. So if somehow the first one misses or does not come to fruition, there may be a follow up wave.
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It's annoying when it's -5 and bare ground that's for sure. But I don't mind the cold typically.
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When have I complained about the cold?
