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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Also with this being MJO driven, some signs maybe this changes mid December. Just some early speculation. Still think sometime before Christmas we try to make a run.
  2. I’m just giving my thoughts. I know how models work. It still seems low chance.
  3. BOX should have nrn ORH county in an advisory but that’s my opinion. First of the year, travel season for holiday etc. I know it’s late at night, but they’ll probably meet the criteria.
  4. Some ensembles still try for a coastal graze next week, but not a high prob thing it seems.
  5. Definitely a more Nino December look there at the end of ensembles sometime during the first week of December. Prior to that I don’t see any wintry events, but still possible some S/w flies by and gives a little.
  6. I think it wouldn’t be a big difference at the same elevation. Haven’t him sort of tucked in like where he is does him well I think. The real downslope areas are up to his north near Plymouth NH, and over towards the nrn lakes region. They can shadow pretty hard.
  7. He’s SW of them. So NE flow shadows a bit, but it’s still not too bad since he just east of higher terrain to his west.
  8. I don't lose much sleep over high terrain getting it on 11/21. Kind of an elevation deal with a hint of SWFE. Even cstl NH and ME get mostly rain.
  9. Going to need it to be a good thump I think for that, but it's not unreasonable. Some models show that.
  10. Yeah that's where my attn is at. But hopefully this is a nice boost for the ski areas.
  11. The synoptic pattern as a whole is garbage, especially near the coast. Even up that way. But it will get some in and up folks on the board.
  12. Yeah still probably should be watched. But definitely a big change there on overnight guidance.
  13. Yeah that’s a cross sig there on the initial burst. It’s been slowly cooling with that stuff.
  14. Hrrr really hitting elevations hard on the snow maps. Definitely more east facing ftw given flow.
  15. I need like 45 min blocked off. Hopefully as this week quiets down I will.
  16. Pretty legit airmass coming in. Temp slowly creeping down to 33 and 25+mph winds.
  17. Sunday has a few mixed rain and snow showers on the gfs.
  18. Euro has something Monday night, but it’s kind of a low chance thing.
  19. Yeah it’s 10:1 too. Wouldn’t shock me if you started as some. That seems like an outlier.
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