CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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The tropicals and 6z gfs look good to me. 40-50 gusts near BOS. Perhaps 60 cape. Period of rain on coast. Definitely more than I thought two days ago. But I think 18z euro was too amped.
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I do. Pretty clear 18z was coming NW.
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Even for you it’s no big deal.
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There’s not much convection, so I don’t see how latent is viable. Also models take that into consideration, this isn’t 1999 anymore. GFS did move west (not 200 miles) but euro probably too tucky as usual. That’s just my thoughts. We see this happen many times. A compromise.
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I actually like the Gfs solution. It’s probably the most realistic
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It’s already east from it’s crazy 18z solution.
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It will tick east
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Looks like 6Z Gfs also stabilize or perhaps when a tick east.
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Probably ticks east
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Tropical models ticked west but 00z euro stabilized. I wonder if we do see things tick east. We’ll have to see what guidance does today.
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That wound be an unusual wind direction. NW gales.
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Stein and Tblizz together
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I don’t know. I’ve seen them perform better than globals, but some of these models are new. So I don’t have experience with them.
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Maybe a tick west
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Tropical models still stubborn
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If this comes, it’s just another Tblizz ginx
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Other guidance needs to shift too. I’ve had the rug pulled out before by euro.
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This is frustrating
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Yikes.
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EPS mean looking violent.
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18z euro is interesting. I just need more support.
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Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Also similar areas from yesterday may get drenched again tomorrow aftn. -
Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Spinner threat near CT coast I think early to mid morning. -
Hurricane Lager
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Beer?
