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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Big change in the EPO region in the 11-15 day. Not sure if it's trend worthy as it's one run, but definitely trying to cool off central and eastern US.
  2. That's typically a great track on Euro guidance but of course the airmass is on fire prior. Kind of has that hang back look for moisture. Probably 3-6 or so verbatim around here.
  3. I'm not grinning. I'll be perfectly honest. It's been taxing.
  4. Hasn't really mattered. You could argue weaker ENSO I guess for colder risks. You're best bet as someone who trades commodities like energy is to time the warm/cold spells during winter vs predicting HDDs for an entire winter.
  5. You'll be more right than wrong though. Just how it is, unless you have a clear signal not to.
  6. If the GFS suite was closer to correct I'd feel better, but that face planted last night. End of 11-15 day did get better on all guidance.
  7. Around 9" I think. If you use the more long term (not 30 yr) probably more mid 40s avg. The only way I may entertain it is if we get 6+ next week. Otherwise I don't see anything that says "wow" to me for a good Feb at the moment. Sure it could happen..but just what I see.
  8. I don't see how I sniff close to normal at this point. I'm not 100% on a big back half of Feb.
  9. I was and then just got disgusted lol. I’ll have to add them up. I’ll have to go back and look.
  10. You may be ground zero for negative anomalies. We hold hands and look down 200’ into the water below.
  11. He sees you when you’re slanting, he knows when your temps are fake.
  12. One of my coworkers lives at 1850’ near signal mtn in TN. Just got above freezing today after dropping below on the 14th. Nights in the single digits with 5-6” of snow last week and ice that caused him to lose power. Locals say worst outage since 93.
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