CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I guess all guidance is wrong
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A met friend of mine over there has been sending me pics.
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It’s interesting in that the ensembles have shown this secondary regeneration and now the ops show it. I thought we don’t use ensembles anymore?
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Just get me a good high and not recycled Humpback Whale breath from Labrador.
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Yep. As long as the vortex doesn’t move into Siberia and elongates we’re good. I like the look so far. Seems like blocking may take place later in January as the cold eases some.
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It splits onto our side, in northern Hudson Bay. The other part goes into northern Siberia. I don’t know what it means for us at this moment, but it’s something I would want on “our” side.
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50mb splits nicely.
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I guess we watch next week perhaps inland? Seems like enough guidance hints maybe at a little snow.
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We can?
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Light dawns on a nice clean yard finally. Just nude looking out and sipping coffee.
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I mean they had 60-65 for winds. So is 68 a bust? Maybe the best winds extended inland a bit more, but from what I saw, it was communicated well.
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Yeah fuck her. This whole “we’re NNE and we can take whatever comes at us and fix what breaks” is bullshit. It was communicated well. MEMA needs to take a look in the mirror.
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I don’t see it as an issue right now.
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Well my take is that it’s used too much to justify why patterns do what they do…or with too much confidence imo. It’s one piece of the puzzle. But it does have a say.
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I don’t know if the Strat is playing a role yet, but on the EPS last night, the 50 mbar Vortex was stretched and close to splitting.
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I was a weenie last night and read through the Jan 2022 blizzard thread. You had some good posts haha.
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Yeah. That’s certainly a possibility in the second week of January. Anyways ops mean nothing past day 7, but maybe it acts like a binky to the weenies.
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Fairly active gfs so far.
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Cleaning up my lawn today from the disaster from Monday. We burn.
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Canadian at 00z was a tame version of the 12z run yesterday, but not sure I buy it.
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It’s possible for sure.
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It does look active on the ensembles, especially after the 4th or so. Of course expectations should be in check and not every place or every storm may be all snow.
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I think GEFs have some members doing that but whatever, it’s rain for us I think regardless.
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Still like guidance overall. EPS with a block north of AK and PV kissing Hudson Bay.
