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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. To be honest, he’s probably one of the few guys forecasting, temps and snowfall… And he’s been pretty decent overall.
  2. Backedgeapproaching already itching to fire it up.
  3. I haven’t cared much to follow, but seemed like it back in the Fall despite the calls from some.
  4. Will this nino peak under 2.0 in the trimonthlies? Seems like it will. Peaked already.
  5. I looked at blue hill which is considered the crème of the crop for obs. Looked at top yearly precipitation.
  6. We just had a dry year last year. We also had some serious wet years 2000-2012 too. Hell even the 50s had wet years. I think there’s a little recent confirmation bias coming in.
  7. I’m honestly lost when it comes to what to expect. Sure cold pushes can happen, but that -PNA modeled could be quite cold across the CONUS. I don’t think it will last, but it shows signs of lasting at least a week.
  8. Yeah can see a flare up in the western IO coming up.
  9. I honestly haven’t looked in like over a week. But this season I feel like the MJO/CCKW stuff has had no problem zipping along. Haven’t seen a good stall in awhile.
  10. Problem is this is not behaving like the 09-10 event.
  11. Here’s a top hit of one of many stinky winters of my childhood. Listen and harken back.
  12. Going to be a pike south soaker. Yay.
  13. Lots of voodoo logic going on here.
  14. I always thought FIT was running warm.
  15. 50mb is stretched and knocked around but doesn’t look like a SSWE to me.
  16. GEFs would be nice as they start to develop a nice Greenland ridge as the PNA relaxes.
  17. Yeah 00z looked fine. Weenies got their first fantasy blizzard so maybe that will pacify them for a few hours.
  18. Same. At least interior anyways. Woof.
  19. Who said the 20th? Steve? Didn’t many say the week after Christmas is when things start to change? I will admit December has been uglier than I imagined and I did not imagine a good month.
  20. I said if we are snowless on 1/15 and long range sucks, we punt. By then we’ll have an idea of Feb so I think it’s reasonable. I do think we’ll start to have some chances first week of January.
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