CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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The grass said no snow.
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Are you saying we won’t Sey Mour Snow?
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Good high prior. Maybe that can be more of a SWFE.
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Any op run really. But yeah I agree. A few small changes means a lot so naturally you use ensembles which hopefully show you the different outcomes and help identifier outliers. Also, once again 12z EPS looks good. What’s with the 12z runs looking good lately.
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Ironically EPS wants the 7th.
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1/7-1/8 is also pretty far out to confidently rule one way or another.
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Euro is fast flow so srn vort can’t amplify.
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One bourbon, one scotch, one beer.
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Doesn’t really matter in the end. More curious about trimonthlies. This Nino continues to show signs of not being a true strong one and fighting a -PDO.
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Wine is flowing
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Congrats daily anomalies.
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Who needs models when you have green grass and geese.
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I’m always watching gulf lows this far out. The tendency more often than not is usually more amped this far out. I understand that s/w’s can deamplify etc, but just a general rule.
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I just mean in general. For instance you look at the pattern for December 2007 and did you ever think you’d get near record snows? Compare that to now and you’d think we should be having some chances here.
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GEFS are pretty far offshore on the 5th.
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“Sometimes got to give…!!!!”
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A few degrees colder aloft and this would have been nice even down here.
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Gfs wasn’t bad looking on the 8th either at this stage.
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Gfs was close but not biting. We watch.
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Many people right now:
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Steady light rain here
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I heard the stupid Luke Combs cover of “fast car” 3 times yesterday.
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They’ve gone a bit downhill the last few years.
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In most years I’d look at the pattern coming up and say that looks pretty good and it would work out. But over the last two years I look at it and say to myself how can we screw this up? It’s still a decent look imo. Just need to see how the dice rolls.
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Based on those pics, you need the calories.
