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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    On both of those ensembles, the EPS and the AIEPS, I see a ridge off the West Coast and part of a trough dipping into the southwest corner of the US. I don’t really see any red flags? If anything that trough over the southwest will help shoot some impulses northeast because otherwise if we didn’t have that, I think we might have suppression working its way down.
  2. CoastalWx
    The ensembles show our source region in Southeast Canada cold. We haven’t seen anything like that in years. I’m not looking for a KU pattern just something that often chances and I think this one will.
  3. CoastalWx
    None of those models had a trough coming in and a massive SE ridge. On the means anyways. I’m not losing sleep over op runs.
  4. CoastalWx
    After day 13 or so temps cooled off with what looked like potential storm chances down the road. What are you looking for specifically?
  5. CoastalWx
    Let’s get the Mansfield stake down to 0”
  6. CoastalWx
    EPS and EPS AIFS looked fine to me at the end after the cutter. I’ve been after the first week train anyways.
  7. CoastalWx
    I mean, it’s possible we don’t, but everybody gets so mad if I mention that. It’s always like the EPO will bring down the cold. It will squish everything… But that’s how these patterns initially go. It’s literally climo. There’s nothing wrong in saying that.
  8. CoastalWx
    I always try to include some nice “visions” in my posts.
  9. CoastalWx
    I miss having access to Ventrice’s MJO stuff. All I have are those wheeler diagrams. Better than nothing I guess.
  10. CoastalWx
    I know it’s an op run, but 12z Euro AI has the depiction I had in mind for this whole regime shift. Early December shut ‘em down type cutter with frigid temps into TX while Kevin is wearing his plum smuggler running shorts for his morning run. Then it shifts east.
  11. CoastalWx
    A collective boing can be heard to your south.
  12. CoastalWx
    I just mean as things transition. Look at the gfs for example. Something like that on 12/3.
  13. CoastalWx
    I’m fully prepared for your interior strap on for the beginning of the month, but I think if the progs are right, the wealth will be spread across a chunk of SNE during the month.
  14. CoastalWx
    His name is Snowcrazed
  15. CoastalWx
    I’m gonna call BS on the GFS for T-Day.
  16. CoastalWx
    SWFE on 12/3? Decent NoP anyways.
  17. CoastalWx
    Nasty and wedgy on the gfs. Let’s either delay it or get it out sooner.
  18. CoastalWx
    There’s some concern from some of the energy Mets around Christmas. It’s a month out so I don’t really care at this point.
  19. CoastalWx
    Kevin probing
  20. CoastalWx
    Instead you have 6 months of sweat. Enjoy!
  21. CoastalWx
    I do hear you on the sunlight. At least have it light until 6. Getting dark at 4 sucks.
  22. CoastalWx
    20 for you and 70 for Wolfie?
  23. CoastalWx
  24. CoastalWx
    We may squeeze in something minor prior to that but really anything before the end of the first week of Dec is gravy.
  25. CoastalWx
    That will come early December. As I have said many times. Wait until after first week.
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