CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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32.5 and -RA now.
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32 and kitchen sink.
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I think it may have made a step, but it’s far from something more interesting at the moment.
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You can add up the “I” column in the metar. But I think oceanst said be careful because it measures on flat surface and real accretion on surfaces like wires and trees does not work like that.
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That’s how it looked earlier. I still think we have chances from now through 12/31. That’s all I’m meant. Don’t make yourself crazy from op runs.
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Just got up. Tickled 32 and now 29.8. Sleet and snizzle. Looks like just under an inch.
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Hrrr is a nice parting gift this evening.
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Sand and aggys here.
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And I had to work an overnight so was able to look at a lot. Boston will be lucky to get an inch. Maybe we can get a little light snow this evening.
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On a side note, an uncommon December ZR deal on the cape for a few hours. That’s kind of cool. Darn rare.
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Well it’s snowing at least. Looks pretty.
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I don’t mean your knee-jerk to everything. I mean you take it all as a lump sum evaluate the trends, look at near term data like radar etc. and then if you need to change, you change. But yeah unfortunately most of it happened when people had sugar plums dancing in their heads. 18z started going to crap and it never looked back.
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But that’s why you adjust with trends. It was last minute, but better than nothing to change forecast. Models that assimilate with real time obs like hrrr do help.
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A lot of guidance was bad. At least down here.
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Maybe quarter inch or so. 27.
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It was an uncharacteristic fail all around.
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There was about 2-3 hrs where the HRRR was giving a cross hairs signal in these parts. Now it's giving us the middle finger.
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I definitely looked like north of the pike after 12z runs yesterday could get 4-6" I brought Logan down to 2-3" and it might be generous.
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I was wondering that. Might be lighter, but it may not flip over past like BED-ORH maybe? Yeah the thrust is east for sure.
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The whole thing is a mess. From higher heights possibly from convection, squall lines racing east and screwing up the conveyor belts, and sheared s/w. If you compare 850mb valid at 12z today from 6z runs today vs 12z runs yesterday, the WAA is not classic. It’s gotten worse. You don’t have the classic 60kts from the SW hitting a wall. It’s more stretched out over the waters to our south. That’s not helping.
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IP already near TOL.
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NAM is paltry now owing the the showery nature of radar out west. What a bizarre storm. We'll see how it plays out since it's so close to event time and not worth knee jerking, but it seems like this is definitely becoming less of a snow issue in a good chunk of SNE.
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You won't sniff 32.
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But the press.....
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It's actually coming down at ACK.
