Maybe just a tad aloft. I didn’t see anything notable near surface. More juice it seems too on this run. You’re going to have wobbles from here on out, but certainly a chance of tugs to the warmer side aloft by just a bit.
Yeah I think closer to 3:1 usually? But, if it’s the sleet combines with those crap crystals that occur when the airmass aloft is cold, it’s sometimes closer to 5:1 I think.
I feel like you’ll get sleet too. You’ll probably get some 34F sleet for awhile Monday.
lots of convection modeled too with this down south. I don’t expect the repeat we had two weeks ago, but we’ll need to watch how it unfolds.
Those watch maps sort of take away from what could be a real impact in NE MA. I understand the watch is for ice, but like a few mets I know said, it sort of undermines the impact there.
I don’t think freezing rain is that big of a deal there. You’ll be snow to start and go over to pellets with probably crap ice crystals mixed in with the sleet. Maybe you get a glaze at the end? But I don’t see it as a huge deal. The ZR anyways.
Oh yeah it’s definitely going to torch especially 850-700 or so. No argument there. My Point is that I would keep my eye on that second part where he is. That’s all.
For nrn ORH county it should be cold enough near the surface and temps aloft cool so that HubbDave could see it flip back before ending. I wouldn't expect 6" but he could sneak an inch or two. Obviously this part is more questionable.