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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Canadian takes a conv blob east. I suppose that could happen, but usually the best rain in this setup with a trough moving in would be more to the west.
  2. CoastalWx
    Full on steam bath here with a 75 dew and temps in the 80s.
  3. CoastalWx
    Heaviest rain should be near and NW of circulation, so my guess is NJ-NYC-western New England. To the east, some gusty winds and maybe an iso tor threat where wind fields are best. But you won't get a ton of rain in that region. Ukie looks like an outlier for now.
  4. CoastalWx
    Just based on the height look and the core of jet winds near the US/CA border..it might be good for a MCS or two given we straddle the edge of the hottest 850Ts.
  5. CoastalWx
    Heaviest rain would like be to the N and NW side of the circulation. Some guidance puts this in western New England and SE NY. To the east probably would be a quick burst of rain followed by some SCT downpours and humid srly breezes.
  6. CoastalWx
    EPS is dam hot too. It does look like it cools down a bit in the 11-15 day, but probably still very warm at least.
  7. CoastalWx
    I mean it helps, but you’d probably want it a few degrees warmer. But the potential is there, if we can have a decent low circulation into SNE.
  8. CoastalWx
    The marine flow can stabilize, but with the likelihood of a surge of high dew points along with good convergence and low level shear, it’s not hard to do with just a little CAPE in the lower 3KM. I think ideally you want waters a bit warmer like very late month and in August, but you could do it.
  9. CoastalWx
    I saw a video of people skiing Tucks the other day. I’m not sure what the “climo” is for snow there, but like Will said...given all the warmth, it looked impressive.
  10. CoastalWx
    Yeah maybe Sunday?
  11. CoastalWx
    I’d rule out severe convection as that sounds a little too menacing. More like one cell that may produce a spinner.
  12. CoastalWx
    I actually welcomed this weather. Feels good. Back to dews tomorrow.
  13. CoastalWx
    Nice day. Dews in upper 50s and temps near 80.
  14. CoastalWx
    Maybe a spinner threat too near center and east side.
  15. CoastalWx
    It’s kind of a POS system so not sure the east trend applies. That’s more for well developed systems that will head east as soon as they sniff the westerlies.
  16. CoastalWx
    Yeah..just saying. Looks hot lol.
  17. CoastalWx
    Same..lol. Lets go GFS!
  18. CoastalWx
    Gfs looks fine Sat aftn here. And Sunday would be aftn stuff. It's actually not that bad.
  19. CoastalWx
    Not trolling, but this is a hot stretch coming up on ensembles.
  20. CoastalWx
    You've had inches. Will you be selling Portobellos anytime soon?
  21. CoastalWx
    Looks OVC.
  22. CoastalWx
    Awesome day today. We warm and dew.
  23. CoastalWx
    Starts tomorrow for days. Nothing you can dew about it.
  24. CoastalWx
    BTW, those little tennis racket type things that are electrified and kills bugs are epic. Even with a screen porch those are needed.
  25. CoastalWx
    Take em up. The dews will rise. Enjoy the pool.
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