CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Oh nice didn’t see that. But that’s where the LLJ was so that’s good verification.
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Yeah the coast there for an hour or two could be fun
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So far haven’t seen super impressive obs down south. I did see ORF with 53kts.
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I think those winds Are more for srn CT area. And yeah the tornado threat is legit for sure. But both NAM and gfs bufkit show 50kt potential in a lot of areas.
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I think you’ll also want to watch the Obs in Jersey to see how the winds are doing.
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We need to have a sub-forum tutorial for bufkit. It’s much better to look at that for winds instead of weenie wind maps.
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Will be a good storm. I just wish we could have some rain LOL.
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Not sure why SPC did srn ct now? That is for later when those arc of cells swing through. If anything you could argue western CT and NY state might need one currently.
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Not much change since last night. I think some of the uber wind solutions came back down to Earth, but looks like a lot of 50-60 stuff with some places gusting higher.
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Yeah winds rapidly move in but, also clear out quick. What you see south of SNE at 21z is already beginning to move off after 00z.
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I didn’t see that output verbatim. Maybe Brian has it? It’s from Plymouth state. My guess is probably similar where you are and a little stronger in srn CT.
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That’s darn good with little to no inversion. Nam is also bone dry too lol.
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I think just after those shwrs. Lapse rates briefly steepen a bit as the core LLJ moves in,
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What dendy posted. The NAM.
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Ray, sweet call. I definitely did not think a higher end cat 1. Weenie tip to you.
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950 winds are nuts here at 00z.
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Nam looks pretty dam windy tomorrow
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Good call then Ray. Making a run.
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What was your call?
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Because it’s a good tool that uses not only multiple convection allowing models, but it also has a time lagged feature that uses older runs too. That way you don’t knee jerk to the “newest” solution. The latest solution isn’t always the most accurate. So, you get a nice feel usually to what may happen. It’s not always perfect though.
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Yeah it’s really only an hour or two of the good winds.
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LOL, still some questions as we see from models.
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Some of those models intensify this a bit too over land, giving those solutions. I guess if that occurs, it’s possible along with the mixing. I’m just not sure of the high end stuff.
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That’s awfully high. I don’t think it verifies.
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3K NAM much more tamer compared to hrrr.
