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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    If EPS remains similar to 12z, then we'll know the op was voodoo.-
  2. CoastalWx
    Man Hi res slams south coast.
  3. CoastalWx
    Preliminary thinking 8-12 here for BOS. I don't really have CT totals, but probably similar.
  4. CoastalWx
    Yeah I see that too, But I do think that is something to think about as this occludes and drives some convection at least to the east. It's not going to change what I have out, but I'm watching it.
  5. CoastalWx
    I guess that's what bothers me. Is that real? If it is, that will leave it as a banded mess. If not, it will be a much stronger conveyor belt of moisture.
  6. CoastalWx
    Looks more tucked in and then shunted east. Almost gfs like with a weenie low chasing convection.
  7. CoastalWx
    Lmao. You stop that!!
  8. CoastalWx
    Yeah I could see a mix there during the height, especially if it moves north.
  9. CoastalWx
    I think Harvey’s map this far out looks good. Might be a tight gradient, but given all the uncertainty that’s fine to me.
  10. CoastalWx
    They’ll most certainly be a tight gradient.
  11. CoastalWx
    So in my mind something like a Reggie track is sort of what I envisioned when I look at the H5 stuff. A lot of the guidance shunted it east. I know why it did....but that was always sort of what I envisioned. Reggie caveats apply naturally this far out. That’s sort of a balance between lows feeding off of PVA and baroclinic processes in my mind, but I’m also not running complex atmospheric dynamics equations in my mind.
  12. CoastalWx
    Snowing now.
  13. CoastalWx
    Don't Jinx.
  14. CoastalWx
    NAM has no choice but to come south. It had the 700 low near Albany at 12z.
  15. CoastalWx
    Yeah Ray, this was good for you I thought.
  16. CoastalWx
    Raging at hr 60.
  17. CoastalWx
    Some flakes now mixing in. 35.
  18. CoastalWx
    Sleet now. 36.
  19. CoastalWx
    Long range overall still looks good IMO. The real lack of a SE ridge in this Nina is interesting.
  20. CoastalWx
    It does. It depends where the layer that is between -12C to -18C resides. Since the airmass is fairly cold, this will be found lower than anything we saw during the storm we had two weekends ago.
  21. CoastalWx
    It's likely closer to 700mb, but your thought process is on track.
  22. CoastalWx
    Yes.
  23. CoastalWx
    EPS is still dam good. Even with a slight SE shift on the nrn edge, really goes to town over CT RI and into MA up to and north of pike.
  24. CoastalWx
    Punctuation Awakening. Rise of the exclamation points.
  25. CoastalWx
    That is a great band signal once again to the pike though.
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