CoastalWx

Not sure if anybody noticed, but after it cleared on the outer cape, that had some gusts 70-90mph. Mini 05.

LOL October keeping me above climo for now.

Yeah and over time the DGZ dried out after it flipped, at least that’s what I noticed when I was looking at BOS. Radar started to shred a little. I think it was thumping good in those areas in metro west shortly after changeover and then went to crap after the DGZ rose and dried out a bit.

This past weekend threat snuck back. Originally it looked more like the 7-8, I know others thought the same too. That’s different when you look at an overall pattern vs timing a s/w like this weekend.

Pattern looks good for it to move west of us. IMO.

Not to beat a dead horse, but it helped in the October 30 storm. I was getting fluff in the aftn from efficient snow growth. Part of the reason we saw record snow.

I think spatial area coverage too. Big hooked dendies will be efficient in cooling.

I don’t really look at those lol.

That’s a good point about dropping flakes in a near 32 layer that is thousands of feet thick.

The only saving grace is that there is not a SE ridge modeled. It's more zonal...so there will be a bit of a gradient. It means that anything would need to e well timed. Hence, not terrible. But meh.

Any deck pics?

That’s my guess too. Mentioned earlier about the DGZ coinciding with high terrain. I think longitude did hurt. Absolutely.

Come back to New England.

I think we had decent qpf here after 5. I know we had a big WAA event in early January 2010 where we had 12” on NW winds, so it can happen. I just think it was a garbage airmass and when you need all the pieces lining up for it to even snow, it’s probably not going to end well.

On Sunday? I think so. IMO.

We cut

Too many get sucked in.

I think it’s recent confirmation bias. Maybe you are referring to marginal event busts? I wonder if you guys were sucking exhaust maybe? It seemed like anybody downwind of high terrain didn’t do well. I saw the signal at Winni and purposely did not go there. I knew it would suck there despite my son begging me lol. Being downwind of high terrain in a marginal airmass can suck.

It can happen with a marginal airmass. I think many said it has big bust potential.

Must look dam wintry if you have more than 8” of this snow. Congrats who got that. Should stick around for a little while.

The weenie maps just don’t take anything important really into consideration. I hate them lol. I thought it would pound in metro west, but it did not. I do think the lift into the DGZ was only confined to a narrow area associated with the higher terrain coincidentally (I think I even said it’s possible this could be a storm that really differs from low elevation to high elevation). Therefore if it doesn’t pound dendrites, it is tough to latent cool to near 32. That’s probably a big reason. If I was on air or a NWS met, I would have busted there for sure. Hell I busted on 1-3 for BOS lol. Congrats on the little one!

.25” here.

Just a few flakes to show for these bands. Figured it may be meh here, but it’s a rusty coat hanger operation performed in the combat zone back in 1976.

I wonder if ORH is warm at times. Even Kevin got to 32 and Will said it was 32 at winter hill.