CoastalWx

Dude I have a tenth of your elevation. I’m not in this race. But let’s not pretend that doesn’t exist.

Welcome to the jungle. We’ve got snow and weenies.

To be honest, Kevin makes it easy for others to root against him. All we hear are the hills this, hills that. I’m surprised someone like Ryan hasn’t mailed him Ricin yet.

Yeah some signs of it lingering in CT. Actually maybe those hills near Danbury do well?

Why would I want someone to get more than the other person, especially when I don’t have any skin in the game?

I could care less. I don't think I'll see more than some wet flakes, but I'll be interested to see how close the snow comes.

I'll call it as I see it. But since you are like the human NAM and we need to slash your amounts by 1/3...that's what we do. You probably have equal chances for amounts...maybe someone differs by a small amount...that will be due to how the precip is aligned and collapses to the south. I don't think it is due to elevation.

He's got PTSD from being dumbfounded in 07-08. So he hates the term latitude.

That’s not true. I love the srn CT jacks. Those are fun to call because nobody sees them coming.

Ray>Kevin

The weenie force of Weymouth is strong.

Maybe it will!

I know I said this yesterday, but hell of a winter event even a month from now.

Not a bad look. Siggy difference from other guidance.

The bump north with part 1 is actually better for you guys.

No help from the GFS with part 2, but part 1 more robust for the drought duo in SE MA.

Synoptically they probably are due for one of those. It's just real hard to get anything 18" or more in the lakes region, but I think Brian has the better chance where he is. The Lakes Region is more known for the 6-10" deals and CAD.

I wouldn't expect any surprise solutions. From here on out, you'll want to see some bumps north and corrections that we noted in the s/w down south. You'll want that to maintain a sharper orientation and have it a bit further north for anything more than flakes or a coating. The whole system seems to have gotten a little more robust and further north on the 12z runs today. You won't see any massive shifts this close in, but they'll likely be more "bumps" north...especially with the second part on Friday morning. Speaking more for SNE here.

You'll miss the biggies.

Saw Winni has some light snow currently. Not sure if Brian saw any.

You can see the difference at hr 45 on the 12z vs hr 51 on the 6z at 500mb. Look at how the 12z run is almost more of a neutral tilt. The 6z run was more linear aligned from SW-NE. the 12z run has it aligned more N-S which allows the dynamics to spread the precip north and help curl it back.

30 in BOS verbatim...lol. Not sure about that unless it's going pretty good.

Nam tried to wrap up the second wave just a bit more. Verbatim even brings some snow here, locally.

Hadleyween on Saturday,

He needs to make a t-shirt of some giant 500mb ridge with razor sharp teeth taking out the East Coast.