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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Gfs again has the good stuff offshore. Maybe the s/w sort of moving from west to east and not really digging or tilting negative with time is combining with other factors to keep this offshore? I honestly don’t know, but every hi res model is pretty Far East. I want to think the euro is more correct, but hard to ignore the 00z models so far.
  2. It’s funny when a set of runs don’t come in favorably. There’s always an electronic domestic incident on here.
  3. That wasn’t widespread 20+. More like 12-18 with a few lolli’s higher I think. Also that storm wasn’t cold really. Temps like 25-30 in many areas to start.
  4. It’s probably going to Be something where you wet bulb down to near 32 if you were to be in the heavy stuff.
  5. It is. Gosh it’s so borderline here though, so we’ll certainly need the heavies.
  6. Even as depicted, it looked like colder air was moving in. You could see that at the end of the euro op. I think it looks fine as far as temps go.
  7. Man that CCB is close to the Cape. It wouldn’t take much to tickle that west.
  8. Right if it happens, sweet. But I think many expect those results when we talk about things looking good. I’m just saying that we shouldn’t always expect those kind of seasons when we say things look favorable.
  9. It looks fine. Big ridge out west. Cold will be enough. You don’t need Arctic air.
  10. Everything looks pretty good. As long as you aren’t expecting 2011 or 2015 you’ll hopefully be happy.
  11. I think a narrow area of several inches could work out. But honestly I’m quite baffled with how bad modeling is. Maybe two areas. One near TOL and points SW to NE from there in the high terrain. Perhaps another area just away from the coast like HRRR and Euro show? That would be depending on how that low develops and brings in the precip.
  12. Jimmy has a 2000’ layer of air to worry about near the surface.
  13. Yeah. Bring that west a bit and I’ll play with the dynamics vs .2” of qpf every 6 hrs.
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