It’s not EF4. That’s stronger than the Springfield 2011 TOR which you could argue reached that briefly. Probably high end EF2. McMansions can be cookie cutter structures that are made well but not that well.
Don't read into model waffles, heaviest likely near WF srn ct, RI, into SE MA. Maybe a mini other jack near Kev to BDL given rains. But these things can change.
I even mentioned areas south of pike may Stein for a bit, and that will happen probably near Kev and Ri shortly. But the uber stuff will blow away anything the areas getting fronto later on. So the dry areas now will begin to surpass the areas likely getting decent rains now.