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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Just say “We at eastern MaWx feel this isn’t totally elevation dependent.” He loves to hear it coming from that source.
  2. Temp drops rapidly. Maybe ORH airport briefly accumulates better than lower spots, but to me..the biggest issue is how far north or south does the 850-700 temps get and where is the H7 warm front. Where that briefly pivots and stalls, will be where the jack is.
  3. It's not totally elevation. Because the temps 850-700 get to be like a SWFE...warmer to the south. So maybe elevation matters to a point, but so will latitude.
  4. Kevin's 3K a little more south. You see how delicate it is, but this does seem like oe of those events where 700-500 lift will dictate where the jack would be. Gonna need the DGZ to get smacked with VV to help flip that area over to snow. Look north of the H7 front IMO.
  5. Nah, watches not issued now. No confidence in Watch amounts at all.
  6. LOL, NAM has been so erratic, back to the days where the NAM behaving like the NAM we used to know.
  7. Placement of deep lift, timing of cold air infiltration, and a difference in temps of like 1-2F between 925-700ish or so will be tough to determine. That will be the difference of 1-2" vs 4-6"+.
  8. It won't be like that. That was a different beast. Should be a nice band on the nrn edge.
  9. Tough call with this. On one hand, high pressure building south and putting the squeeze on. On the other hand, convection and latent heat wanting to amp the downstream ridge a bit.
  10. Happy birthday Wolfie. Nam looks snowy for many, especially north of pike.
  11. I think hire right. I remember it was a mix of crap on my birthday may 8, and some sort of mix overnight to snow overnight.
  12. I think we had flakes but don’t remember accumulation. Wasn’t that event south anyways? Maybe we coated.
  13. That was the latest true snow I can remember. Special event.
  14. I don’t think it will IMO. I guess it depends where you mean.
  15. LOL it’s all good, but the EPs had this signal for a long time. Even when the euro op was a cutter it showed it under SNE. We’ll see what happened because this will be tough to pin down, but hopefully at least an advisory event for many.
  16. We did try and try and try to tell them.
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