CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Yeah something to watch to see what the globals do. It's real close, but I do like seeing the NE flow from 850-700 for a time.
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Just looked. Saturated nicely in the DGZ for a time, but little QPF to show. Hmmm. I know NW winds at the surface may try to eat away at some of that.
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Tamarack just chopped down a Chestnut Tree in disgust.
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Like the WAA from Maine at 850 lol.
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That's what I envision. Probably that wet mid 30s look with some spats of snow or rain. Winds stay more N inland so I would think it wouldn't be too warm there.
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I feel like we hear that a lot, but the synoptics usually don't care about that in SNE. If it's a weak low sometimes the cold snowpack can hold back the warming in the interior, but if you are getting a modest storm moving into the Great Lakes and intensifying, snow won't do anything.
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6th or 7th has warm potential. That's the EPO dump so IMO that is likely. Maybe we can turn it into a SWFE?
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I definitely like both Nammy's. Will have to watch late Wed night into Thursday around here. Temps get borderline near the coast tomorrow, so could be a little RASN in lighter rates.
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Pretty sweet burst on the new NAM.
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I agree.
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Even that may be crappy snow with winds off the Atlantic. Perhaps it could be ZL with light rates. Pretty cold below 850. I just remember it had something like that to the pike in one event and it was all snow. I don't disagree..just not sure it will be up to I-84 like it shows.
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Greenland ridge, yes. I'd probably want it closer to the Davis Straits with that look, but I certainly won't scoff at it.
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I just mean the SE ridge comes in with that look of a -EPO. So we need some blocking or it's Bengal Tigers and Mai Tais. I do think it is active, so potential is there for some fun.
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It seems a little aggressive with sleet since I don't see anything in the column above 32 on the soundings. It's done that before. Maybe right near the coast closer to the warm tongue, but too aggressive IMO.
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Probably 2" I think. I could see 3+ if the band holds together.
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We ride the line I think with a Greenland ridge and -EPO. Beware.
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It looks fairly light though.
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No that would be Friday night. I think it stays just offshore, but you could get clipped. There is something late tomorrow night into Thursday morning across ern areas, but you are on the ptype line.
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FWIW here is GRAF,
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Euro has temps near 40 in SNH tomorrow. Maybe it's trying to show some brightening in the overcast there? It could be one of those things where when the precip stops, temp warm up a tad across the area. Not sure it will be that warm, but something to note.
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This seems reasonable for SNE. Still not sure if that area of 4-6 is that widespread 72 hrs from now, but certainly ORH hills could see this. It just depends on how some of these trough features work out and also how much of a push is the WAA burst tonight.
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Yeah there isn’t really a reason to diagnose banding or dynamics. That will change on the op runs. The ensembles have a nice signal and that’s all you can ask for.
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I think 3-6 is pushing it. 6z euro backed off a bit too. 2-4" with some areas getting more.
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Looks fine to me. 2-4 with some areas getting more in localized spots.
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Yeah I saw. It seemed to start this morning from what I noticed. Weird.
