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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Looks like some sort of weenie band worked out there over the west. That may help.
  2. Maybe at worst some light snow regenerates? I dunno...I think that is some Ron Washington shit right there. That looks out there.
  3. This is nothing like that. Different beast. Nice you got 2”.
  4. Extended weenie RAP (which means little I think) has that feature too.
  5. It's wicked impressive. The LLJ convergence shows up nicely near here on the QPF maps too. Hopefully we can thump before the mix comes.
  6. The Para looks like it drops some S+ in a similar fashion. I wonder if that strong WAA near 700 has a conv element to it. I noticed the soundings steepen a bit too.
  7. Here is another thought for those peeps near the coast like Jerry. My guess is that 1) Models will not be cold enough on the cold side of the CF and 2) probably collapses south quicker Tuesday morning. So those that change over, Tuesday morning could have a nasty refreeze back to FZDZ and/or snow.
  8. Looks like a dump to me. Don't fall in love with the clown maps.
  9. Only thing that caught my eye was the DGZ drying out after like 4z or so. So it would need to be hours of big lift from 850 isentropic glide and CF stuff which could do it I suppose. You'd think that you could nickel and dime your way to 18+ on the cold side of the CF into Wed,
  10. That weird hole is just a figment of the model I think. I didn't see a reason for that. The islands off of FMH aren't getting more snow than Blue Hill.
  11. Definitely for you. Almost looks like convection with very strong forcing
  12. Ha, the changeover to a driving sleet to snow event Tuesday night is real cute on the RGEM.
  13. We'll have to see how the rest of the guidance does. It's possible the first round is like 10-12" in the all snow areas and then maybe a couple more into Tuesday night. Wherever that CF sets up is good for an extra few easily though in local spots.
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