CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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It's too bad this comes in so late. Would have probably been a little snow here near dawn. I don't expect much of anything near BOS. Maybe Blue hill gets a bit, but temps even near Tolland warm up. Will need to wetbulb. Should be nice NW CT into Dragon-land ORH county and up towards shallow grave world on NE to the chicken coops and beyond.
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Last two seasons have been void of those, even srly gales too..especially this year. 2/1 had good winds on the coast, but that's it. Even those big NW gales behind a departing low, have been missing. Not many windy events this season.
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BDR seems much more in line from a met friend who lives in Milford. According to him anyways. I know in the past there were issues.
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I think right after has more potential. That setup is putrid with retreating high and low into the lakes.
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It has no detail. 25-50" category. LOL. OK.
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Para is the only one feasible and has no support because that model is trash and too cold.
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Dung.
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I know Will did the averages out in a nicely detailed map so he can post it. I'm pretty sure BOS averages more than even Danbury or close to it. One storm this year in a borderline airmass doesn't really change things. You really gain snow amounts quickly near 42N. If we had a more typical Nina behavior, you guys probably would be gardening down there.
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Eastern areas overall avg more than cstl CW CT. That's a given. Latitude and the fact they stick out into the ATL for the biggies accounts for that. Season is not over yet. I am at 43" now,
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Tossed. Looks like hell.
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Looks like overall fairly mild to start. We'll have to watch a boundary nearby with some fairly cold air to the north. With any luck maybe we can get some overrunning to start the month, but the 500mb pattern doesn't exactly scream wintry. At least as of right now.
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There still might be something first week of March, but it looks borderline.
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Just sucks pattern sort of goes to crap now, but oh well. Maybe we can get early March to work out. Refreshers up north this week.
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We may be going for a second year. Let’s get 4 in a row for Ray.
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No way lol. Awesome.
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But you’re comparing op runs out to hr 384. I mean that’s like comparing 2 ensemble members. The para at 00z did crap itself for the 27.
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Well that was just not a good setup, I don’t attribute it to bad luck per se.
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Yep
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Lots of sledding and winter stuff last two days. Today was perfect, actually got color on my face from Tip’s sun angle and reflection off the snow. Probably starts to become a dream by tomorrow and rest of the week here.
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It all depends. A humid srly flow may mean low clouds and fog, but you get those nice westerly and northwest flow days and it’s perfect. So it’s sort of a gamble. July and August are best.
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Yeah this year we had some bad luck too. Seemed like confluence was just enough to shear out systems coming from the Plains and southern US. The true arctic cold was really only the last two weeks and driven through the west and plains. But you can look at it alternatively. The confluence also helped reduce the cutter potential. There’s a good chance that without the confluence, storms would have been a lot milder for New England.
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It’s also placement and magnitude too. But if you look at general NAO states, the big boys have had a -NAO. It is true though that overall the correlation weakens in NNE in terms of what base state of the NAO matters for seasonal snowfall.
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Thanks for this, I think it makes sense too because anecdotally, they seem more in line with other reports. I'm glad they have a good ownership.
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Lmao. Not true at all. You probably would not have the snow you already have.
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Yeah, was just thinking of personal experiences with that. But man I was like holy shit when I saw that.
