That cutoff Sunday into Monday has SOS all over it. Wherever the convergence sets up is where those 5”+ totals happen. In general seems like almost all areas in SNE 2-3”+. Much needed.
Unless it's in the sun all day, the soil isn't that bad at all. At least in my area. We had .27" the other day. Any flooding would be more from heavy rain in a short period. There won't be river issues and things like that though unless you get 5"+.