CoastalWx

Many models sort of have that area of WAA snows coming into CT and MA. Maybe one of the jack areas is near Kevin and east of him?

Point is, given our climate, that’s virtually impossible to do even as it warms.

I think I was the closest to getting shut out recently lol and that was in Boston, 10.3” in Dorchester in 11-12. Even the south coast had more.

LOL. Hey it might be pushed out, but this isn’t the AK pig eye. That’s some wintry weather coming out west and into the Plains probably. You’ll probably hear Seattle and Portland in the news.

This place needs snow lol. Gfs sort of like ern CT and RI into adjacent MA, but not as robust as the NAM. There’s almost like 3 areas to watch. One is near Portland Maine. One might be CT into adjacent MA into NH where WAA and some convergence in lower levels may help. The other area is somewhere in NE MA to maybe Plymouth county later on as the NE flow and NW flow converge there. I’m not sure what area will be dominant, but some snow is likely in those areas. Might take until later on near coast when winds go more N and NW. Maybe hills in ORH county can benefit from being colder.

The overall temp gradient between mid latitudes and Arctic is decreasing which in theory would lead to slower westerly momentum.

Finally looking ahead and it does seem like after 12/20 we may see a change, but don’t be surprised if that is delayed until closer to Christmas. That’s a stout -EPO.

I’m sure global warming will be talked about over the next two weeks, but the truth is....even Governor Bradford in 1630 would have been in a Speedo with Chief Massasoit given this -PNA.

Dewcember

Gonna be nasty up there. Good news is that you torch on srly winds. Rum Runners in Randolph.

For Hazy

LOL Newport RI FTW?

The other hi res models are all over the place too. They seem to like cstl Essex county (ARW and WRF NSSL).

The thing that stinks is that a lot of people on outside looking in. Stinks with those.

I mean they happen...just a matter of where.

Ray's favorite. Looks like he sold his soul.

Even getting eastern Greenland ridging too but that dam SE ridge is stubborn. Maybe we get some cold to ooze in?

Models have gotten better as a whole. It’s just that now everyone has access to pretty graphics of snow 5+ days out. When 50 miles means flurries or a foot, that’s totally in the margin of error at that time.

More like bone you.

Congrats on the 2” Jack.

I’ll be back tomorrow night with a binky for you.

Meh. None of these events looked good for more than a few runs 5+ days out. The pattern in general isn’t conducive for anything good. No skin off my back. I can think of a lot more frustrating things.

SE MA is near the H7-H5 goodies. Best stuff near the cape is with a borderline airmass.

There isn't a black hole in AK, it's a super -PNA coming. Let me add so people don't head for the Tobin. After two weeks or so, we'll probably see more cold bleed down. My guess is we see something better prior to Christmas? Before that, looks awful.

Guidance is pretty hostile next two weeks and likely beyond. I don’t see how that changes.