CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Meh nothing impressive verbatim east of track.
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Jay go to the south shore. They lose power for days in every blizzard lol. A lot of it due to heavy wooded areas. CT is also heavily wooded and that just adds to the issue with 60mph winds and foliated trees.
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Yeah will it? It seems Awfully tight for something our latitude.
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Yeah I don’t think people realize how fragile it is.
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Amazing how tight wind field is
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I like that track on the gfs as far as how I feel it goes. Big winds for RI.
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Yeah was thinking not great looking.
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The model strength of the ULL and how far it digs down and also strength intensity. I think if the storm is stronger it may help it get tugged west due to the mid and upper level flow helping to steer the storm along path of least resistance.
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I still favor maybe BID to GON landfall. Question is what happens after.
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Not sure convective allowing models are good for TCs. The same models in 2015 that PF used to bring snow as he rocked back and forth violently with Heady Topper in hand.
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They expanded east probably to acknowledge trends but didn’t move track much.
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There is some convection trying to wrap around the center. But, this shows signs of what happens when troughs interact. That kidney bean and lopsided area of convection indicative of some shear and dry air. It doesn’t mean and can’t gain a little steam, but that it’s fighting some hostility.
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I noticed that too.
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Decoupling and then fighting some shear and dry air as it tries to organize.
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Something to think about. As this goes ET near landfall or shortly after, we may see dry air and breaks developing in the overcast. If that happens we may mix some stronger winds down east of track.
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NHC had it as a TS.
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I mean that fine is silly after a certain point. What if a 38 comes? It’s not Eversource that is an issue. I get it for a TS, but eventually we will be knocked into the Stone Age and I wouldn’t blame grid companies.
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My sister-in-law works at Eversource. Trust me, they are preparing big time. I also heard the communications in CT aren’t the greatest and were exposed during Isaias.
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Anyways there is spread and I still think a GON landfall roughly. Guess question is more of how far west does it tug around that time.
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You realize who you’re talking to?
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I love this time before a storm. No matter winter or summer, can always tell those who want it.
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He already did this year.
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NHC had this as a TS on landfall it seems.
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It looks like a kidney bean on satellite. It’s going to need a boost today.
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Still in same town right?
