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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Yep finally. None of this fake cold.
  2. That cracks me up. I could hear the wind through the trees and you guys are radiating.
  3. I’m just hoping that holds a bit and doesn’t move west or drive a massive -PNA/SE ridge Like weeklies show. I think I’d feel better if I saw a little ridging over Santa to keep that PV on our side.
  4. Yeah with that s/w I could see that.
  5. We hope and pray. That ridge was a little further east on the 00z run.
  6. Yeah I saw that too. I think Monday is probably OTS, but maybe one of them can give a little SN.
  7. Also the polar vortex is climo. Just because it’s near the North Pole does not mean winter is doomed. I guess it’s how you define weaken, but those weakenings and splitting are not typically common, yet we still average the snow that we do. In Pacific we trust.
  8. Not the coldest at 32, but quite the breeze blowing. Feels sort of Like November lol.
  9. I don’t think what they show is unreasonable. It’s not like that is a clown solution....that’s Nina there. But, as said earlier.....if that ridge does not retro, I think we would be in good shape.
  10. Yeah I’m not thrilled with the euro.
  11. I think as long as that ridge doesn't retro west past the dateline, we would be ok. If it did move west, it would be ugly. No real blocking, so at the mercy of the PAC. Of course they could be totally wrong too. It's not my forecast, just stating what they show.
  12. Weeklies look warm. Maybe not week 3, but week 4 looks warm.
  13. Water temps like 52 vs 49 or so will always be problematic. In general, you need a decent antecedent airmass or having winds stay more nrly.
  14. Yeah, S/W really dives SE. Hopefully this has legs.
  15. Yeah not bad. Some members showing this. Maybe something to watch.
  16. I explained why a bit further back yesterday morning. I think maybe some of that ridging was a bit of voodoo in the PNA area, but anyways, I think it gets better after that.
  17. It's poop until after first week of December.
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