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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Hopefully you can grab a couple. At least your longitude helps.
  2. Comparing the NAM...it just looks so different from run to run. Definitely related to convection I think. Might be a bit of a nowcast deal.
  3. Convection is definitely messing with the lows.
  4. HRRR is counting sleet I think though. But some hefty rates in western CT, western MA, into NH.
  5. Shocked to see the more shaded hoods on my block kept the snow and almost all of it.
  6. I think 2ish give or take. Probably goes to sleet first.
  7. 3K NAM looks reasonable to me. Kind of meh for many, but I think it highlights the areas to watch. Maybe a little too aggressive in some those spots for snow, but gives you the idea. It’s real tenuous though so beware.
  8. Definitely colder on nam and gfs. A little less dynamic overall so big totals aren’t happening, but could be an advisory deal into ORH county and adjacent into CT. It’s such a weird setup so low confidence.
  9. Yeah it might be 2023. I didn’t realize this until Kevin told me haha. I knew that was in the talks.
  10. Well it’s the synoptic scenario too. This isn’t exactly one where you tend to break snowy. We’ll see, it’s definitely lower confidence.
  11. I don’t really care either way, but it sort of continues my skepticism of snowier solutions down here. We’ll see.
  12. Euro says you should be. Just not sure I buy. Maybe it scores?
  13. Let me clarify a bit. I meant anything significant like 3-4” or more for most posters in SNE. Your area is a wild card, but I still think that is less likely to occur. Now can Kevin or ORH and maybe the good folks in CT WOR get an inch or two? It’s possible. I just deep down don’t buy euro or 12z nam at this stage. We’ll see. The waffling makes me have low confidence overall.
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