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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. NAM has a decent burst of snow across the region Friday.
  2. GEFS look good to me for both signals. Again, all you can ask for.
  3. There is no SE ridge. The 6-10 day and 11-15 day ensemble mean on the GEFS and EPS have lower heights off the SE coast.
  4. Yeah 1/9 a little better and a bit cooler on the GFS.
  5. Euro used to do well with these fronts.
  6. Yeah looks likely. I'm just hoping those temps stabilize near 32 Friday and it's not catpaws at 35.
  7. Part of me wants to side with the GEFS, but the EPS is stubborn. I guess I could see another relaxation after whatever comes during the 12-15th or so, and then signs of another sort of reload to end the month.
  8. The bomb cyclone, and the Ginxy Gravity wave storm of 1994 anniversary today. That storm in '94 was pretty crazy. I had about 6-8" IIRC, but it flipped to a mix. But those winds from the g-wave came out of nowhere. Like 20-30...then to 60 all of the sudden. Lasted a few min then gone.
  9. Hopefully we can get something over the next 2 weeks.
  10. Even Steve isn't sitting there smiling. Just hips, lips, and drips.
  11. I'd rather eat a block of Fentanyl.
  12. I know. The EPS can improve anytime now. Lol.
  13. Still have that window from the 12-14 of something. I may favor more towards the 14th, but both on the table.
  14. That 12-14 period still looks ripe for something. Can’t hate that look.
  15. A Ray approved blizzard for Cape Hatteras.
  16. Couple inches inland on the GFS for the 9th.
  17. Velocity Potential Anomalies. This is a measure of the divergent flow in the upper levels of the atmosphere. Your areas of blue shading are indicative of divergent flow at that level. This is where you may find your MJO convection because as air diverges or is evacuated aloft, you'll tend to have convergence of air near the surface. This convergence at the surface and divergence aloft helps to promote the convection.
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