The snow amount has a limit with this. This is moving steadily, so unless you're in the deformation area W and NW of H7.....I don't see 2'. Looks like a 12-18" limit.
Look at Friday for example. It's in the 30s and fairly mild all things considered. It's not like we have highs in the teens and 20s prior to the storm arrival, with a big fat high north of New England. That's all I mean.
The airmass is not really cold ahead of it. 925 and surface temps out of southwest and mild. As the storm deepens, the cold then gets pulled down. The euro shows this nicely. The GFs does the same, but unfortunately taints a lot of SNE.
We mentioned that yesterday. But ironically your longitude may help. There isn’t anything stopping this from coming due north if this does try to phase. We have many runs left to iron it out.
It’s not in the sense that people use it for the lack of cyclogenesis. Most storms move along and have a residence time of what is modeled.
I’m not ruling out something closer or slower....if that happens it’s because all hell breaks loose and everything phases.
Imagine being the first one in the household in bed each night. Wife sitting there alone all angry......probably hitting tinder up. Just hate to see it.