CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Plenty of time for that.
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Who said frigid? Surface is marginal here, but interior is fine. Plenty cold enough 925-850.
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That sucked, but it was such a bizarre setup and we already had two double digit storms that winter. I didn’t take it as bad.
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You’d be ok even with a gfs track.
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My son showed me the GFS at like 6:30 this morning lol. Poor kid has been so disappointed.
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Thanks for that EPS image Will. I agree, inside of BM at the very least.
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To clarify, a hugger is fine west of 95 if it goes to the Cape.
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Will you stop with the GD SREFs?
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What's the spread on the EPS? I'll sell that far SE.
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Maybe, who knows, it's early to get cute. I like the idea of rapid cyclogenesis if it does tuck, as long as it is not over your house like the NAM has lol.
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Long range still looks pretty good. That relaxation if you will may feature some storminess. Next week could be very cold for a couple of days before it relaxes a bit. After that, we'll see what the PAC does. Should be a decent -EPO, but PNA may drop a bit. Good news is that with wider wavelengths (wider space of cold) and more storminess, could spell some fun.
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I think it's real, but I sort of envision the low developing just offshore and moving north as an elongated low dueling out those features before bombing near the Cape. The GFS track or a bit west of that looks reasonable.
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Yeah those are the areas I mentioned yesterday. I sort of see this moving due north and crossing the Cape. Maybe even near PYM. Hope not over PYM, but just my feeling. We’ll see.
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Yeah, but don’t expect 14-15 to happen. We’ll have a window for some snow chances and colder weather. Some signs a more Nina look happens later in the month with maybe a drop in the PNA, but most guidance maintains a decent ridge in the EPAC. That’s about all I can say. Can’t say if it’s a snowy period or not.
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The days of the euro king in the 2-4 day range definitely have not occurred. I’m sure gfs will still have its issues, but the days of euro yore are gone for the time being. Still weigh EPS more than GEFS.
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Euro will come west in the end.
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The gfs track could happen. Bombogenesis near the Cape. Still think Ptype is the issue for me, but that would work even here.
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Come with me my sheep, for I am thy shepherd......
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Lol. I remember some of those graphics.
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You had about 8” Of sand.
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Given the s/w passing over the Gulf Stream, I’m sure the NAM will do something stupid over the next several runs.
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My opinion is routed on meteorological features though. I’m not trying to set up some preemptive stance to psyche me out on a fear or something like that. Dryslot mentioned those features. I don’t see an OTS solution at the moment.
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Yep. Fast, ejecting s/w is fighting it which might be a good thing otherwise it’s up the Hudson.
