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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Nam was a siggy shift. But it’s the nam and shows you how silly it is to live and die by it. Could care less what it shows and people were putting toasters into their bathtubs.
  2. I’m not going to comment until the rest of the suite comes out. It could be right, but I’m not sweating over it.
  3. Yeah almost looks like you can see the two camps with the low closer to synoptic dynamics and the one with the convection.
  4. That was before 12/20. When we thought it looked better, but the -PNA just was on roids and did not really shift east. If you go to the January pattern thread, this period after the 10th looks pretty good. So my comment about the gravy period I think stands. Weather is weather. Sometimes it doesn’t behave the way we think. Likewise if this doesn’t shift west, oh well. Out of my control until the next time a similar thing happens and it goes from the benchmark to tainting Kevin.
  5. I just don't see how one complains this winter. Enjoy what falls. This was always the "gravy" period anyhow.
  6. I noticed that on the nam. It starts out as a really tiny area of precip. I was wondering if the moisture to the east was interfering with it.
  7. I'd like for you to define that. Is that because we are using our experience to say how it could come more west and that is being misunderstood as someone with weenie glasses on? I think we all acknowledged why guidance is doing what it has shown for 12z solutions. It's a weather forum where we are talking out loud about possible outcomes. If you put a gun to my head, I'd be more leery of my earlier thoughts, but I guess I'm not sure why you said what you said.
  8. Things still look pretty good I would say. After we go through a little flux later in the 6-10 day (which may have some storminess) it looks pretty sweet after. Luckily that has not changed.
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