CoastalWx

SWFE. With a banana high to Bermuda.

Lots of desperation here.

Enjoy 4” and rain.

Euro looks like ass. Lots of hips n edibles in this thread.

GGW

KSELL those amounts

Look at the GFS lol, good luck figuring that one out. Tomorrow's storm and now this is loaded with convective issues it seems.

GFS has no idea with the meso lows.

That was one of the most epic positive busts in recent memory. I was in Hyde Park (part of Boston) with hrs of white out TSSN. 6-12" turned into 30-36". Just epic.

18z NAM is east, but it's got convective shit all over too.

Hybrid

Fully endorse Ray's annoyance of Miller A.

Fairly close to 6z. If anything nrn stream is stronger.

That was a joke, I said not a forecast lol.

??

Hips swinging to the right so hard it pushes it east?

That dude in Jackson NH may get crushed.

I was thinking that too regarding the srn vort...but sometimes the convection pumps the heights up too. I guess we can hope it's more progressive.

No it's possible given the physics like JC said.

I'll say this again, I am dumbfounded how that s/w dives south with a ridge folding behind it, yet turns the corner like one of those zero degree turn Troy-built lawnmowers. WTF.

It seems like the very basic features are not being looked at because it shows a lackluster outcome. If this storm tracks to near NYC and even rots, dumbells over to the Cape, it's already a tough solution near and south of the Pike and down 84 except maybe NW CT and Berks area.. That high retreating rapidly warms 925-850. I don't see anything that says take the over, except maybe for the antecedent airmass. However in those locales I mentioned, that may erode quickly with strong erly flow. I thought Ryan had a good take there for that area and I agree. It also sucks it's not passing by and cold air rapidly moves in. You have a shit airmass coming in from the W and SW before deep CAA takes place.

lips/hips Benchmark

Think he had some lips n hips this morning after the outlier 6z GEFS.

My guess is Berks and nrn ORH do fine with deep erly flow. They'll thump and then slot with maybe some drizzle. Doing fine is relative, but solid 5-8 near Dave certainly is plausible.

Sound like Kevin. No, but I would not rule it out lol.