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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Ha, nah I still want to be correct. My guess is a compromise which sounds like a cop out, but I don't trust the 6z GEFS and the EPS may be on the left side. My gut leans closer to EPS, although I will be happy to admit being wrong if the GEFS win out.
  2. CoastalWx
    I'm still in weather, but in what they call the customer success part of the biz. Basically helping customers make sure they are using the products and working out any roadblocks they have. I'm the only one who knows weather so I've been helping out those in the customer success role with some expertise. I still weenie out and forecast, but on my own haha.
  3. CoastalWx
    NAM backing up tomorrow.
  4. CoastalWx
    Good stuff from you last night. I miss the days of analyzing. I'm out of the forecast biz since May.
  5. CoastalWx
    So to me this makes sense. Compare 00z GEFS and 06z GEFS. - At 00z Monday you can see the srn stream on the 6z run is a bit east of the 00z position. - Nrn stream at 06z appears a little more strung out and weaker. All the energy at 00z is in the back of the s/w which will tighten it up. - Confluence north of New England looks better, especially as you advance 12 hrs.
  6. CoastalWx
    He's gone wild again.
  7. CoastalWx
    I don't know what to say on that.
  8. CoastalWx
    Are you trying to tell me how to forecast?
  9. CoastalWx
    Edibles
  10. CoastalWx
    It certainly matters. A track near CHH would greatly limit the influx of warm air from the ocean to like 925-850.
  11. CoastalWx
    Not if he counts every 0.1”
  12. CoastalWx
    Of Course it matters lol.
  13. CoastalWx
    If we could all disrobe over upslope like you.
  14. CoastalWx
    That’s because he’s Santa’s neighbor.
  15. CoastalWx
    I still have no idea how to read those sensitivity charts, but makes sense knocking down the ridge a bit would shove things east down. Although I think a strong nrn vort is a risk of picking up the srn vort.
  16. CoastalWx
    Because in general it’s better than the GEFS. Too many weenies using anecdotal evidence. I will say the GEFS have done better long term.
  17. CoastalWx
    Gfs op still sucked south of pike even inland. I wouldn’t lose my wad to that.
  18. CoastalWx
    Run. Haha.
  19. CoastalWx
    I’ll still scold you.
  20. CoastalWx
    The gfs op had had short term busts too. Whatever models show the most snow, weenie will hump.
  21. CoastalWx
    I meant op. My bad.
  22. CoastalWx
    GEFs overall have been better with the long term, but in short term I don’t know if you can say the same.
  23. CoastalWx
    I won’t say it’s 0% chance, but when everything else is west, it’s tough for me to buy.
  24. CoastalWx
    6z EPS is out too. Every single model including gfs op is west of the GEFS. They are the outlier.
  25. CoastalWx
    GEFS are an outlier right now. Good luck.
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