Ginx snewx

IDK wind and rain on the Cape were impressive less than those crazy runs for sure . 50 miles off. I don't even take verbatim outputs until 18 hrs ahead. Winter especially. No sense getting worked up. We post maps and outputs to generate discussion. Naysayers and doomsayers fail all the time. Best to watch closely trends and of course the actual weather. Just dismissing out of hand when viable options are on the table always strikes me as weird. Of course the odds are they will be right but when they are not ..... stay aware

Not seeing anything special on NAEFS, yet

You know the difference between the 2? What underperformed last week? If you got hyped on some bad runs 3 days before the storm, your bad. It was an ocean storm from the get go, not inland.

Yall remember Oct17 with that meso cyclone doing all the damage. If , big if , the Euro materialized then SE SNE will have issues. Gravity waves were a major issue. No way to know what will happen until we get within 18 hrs but I would pay attention. One thing that is sure to happen. Ray will call it forgettable. Lol

Pickles missed some important deets. You got smoked on the Euro, model fact not any interpretation.

That jet on all models is extreme, the NAM incorporates it unlike the others at 18Z although the Euro did at 12 Z. As pointed out earlier in this thread that jet is a huge player

NAM actually slows stalls and captures as it approaches the Maine coast. Pretty spectacular model.run at any rate

I have zero problems with people forecasting fast flow a week to 10 days out, 2.5 months is voodoo but lets get back on topic. Helluva subsume off the NJ coast

Good luck, like I said 50 50 shot. Funny thing is a couple of transient blocks is all that's required. 2 snowiest decades of my life with your fast flow with literally 10s of blockbuster crawlers

How the heck do you "know" what the flow will be like in 2.5 months is my point. You don't, you are making a guess.

Thanks Nostradamus. I know more about fluid mechanics than you I can promise you that, on paper and in practice

So glad we dont live there

How do you know that? Conjecture 50 /50 shot

IDK if the Euro run verified I don't care how fast its moving its a impactful storm rain wise at the minimum.

18Z Euro has the tropical storm off of Cape Cod with a second low cutting the canal. Big rains

Ens have a LP going over near the Cape. I would agree

978 right over my head 3 to 5 rain for you gusts over 60 for me

Here's your tropical feed. Hybrid Hellacious

We don't want that Euro solution holy heck

Wow what happened. Lol Euro gone wilder

We peak happiness

Nam and all but yes tropical look for the NAM

The roots of the small ones make awesome ice tea. I brought some to my native American friend who is a chef. She made ice tea for me. Very sweet smooth taste.

I am looking forward to warm dude. Useless cold is useless. Sort of like your posts.

Mentioned that before. Look at that spine from Mass to Canada with that inflow. Helluva upslope