Meh that blink is like a tenth of precip lol. Noise really. Wolfie if there's gonna be a big dog it's the 6th 7th woo that looks ripe. Just need it to hug a little more. Watch 850 east flow close
There is an AI model.running
https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/graphcast_medium-mslp-wind850?base_time=202311301200&projection=opencharts_europe&valid_time=202311301800
To me personally the basic upper air and mid levels modeling has suffered under 96 hrs. I attribute a lot to the super fine tuning. Hard to use model bias now because the bias runs so may ways.
Lol true. Does amaze me when PF is surprised every year when he gets dumped on by upslope. This past event perfect example. When the Tug is predicting 4 feet obvious serious lift headed to the Greens with blocked flow.