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Voyager

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    Central PA Fall 2018

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    1 hour ago, maytownpawx said:

    Saw the heat index at the Patriots-Jags game Sunday was 107. Can you imagine watching football in that?

    Can you imagine PLAYING football in that???

    On to the local weather. Rain is falling once again, and we are now up to 2.46" for the event which is in the ballpark of what "some" of the models were pointing out. Considering the flood warnings and advisories, I suspect some got more, but still, I was kind of expecting about an inch and a half, so we did ok for a change...

    • Haha 1

    Central PA Fall 2018

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    2 hours ago, pasnownut said:

    Looking like a nothin burger over this way.  Was suspicious of it this morning and i think so far it may just be the right suspicion.  Latest HRR 3k blend of total precip still looks like 2" for much of the susuqu valley but if the radar is any indication, i dont see that happening.

    Man...I'm starting to sound like another poster from the land of Yuengling......

    :whistle:

    • Like 1

    Central PA Fall 2018

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, canderson said:

    That's good to hear. Hope your driving stuff works out OK, was sad to hear the hours were so few. 

    Yeah. It was feast or famine, but mostly famine. I had one four day work week, and the rest were two or three. Can't earn a living that way. Relying on the general public to book charters is risky business. 

    Hauling freight has some slow times, bit is still more consistent.

    Now for some weather to keep on topic. Looking at my CTP forecast, Sunday appears to be the only nice day for awhile as clouds and showers return next Monday for most of next week.

    Central PA Fall 2018

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    I knew you guys were. How could you not resist considering how much I complain? :lol:

    As for me, I'm feeling much better. Still sore sometimes, but my overall health feels much better. Who knew how bad an overactive thyroid could make you feel? I sure didn't. I'm sleeping better, I have a crazy appetite right now, and I feel less tired and more energetic.

    • Like 1

    Central PA Fall 2018

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    1 hour ago, maytownpawx said:

    Well if you have over 52" on the year them stars are aligning a lot...:)

     

    1 hour ago, pasnownut said:

    Was thinking the same thing.  He's the best misser i know.

    Voyager should change his name to Copernicus.

    Onto the next miss........

    What we miss on is the exciting rains and events. Since the rainy season started on July 21st. many areas have had out and out deluges. We, on the other hand, were mostly on the moderate side. Duration, and not intensity is what got my location to where it is.

    I'd rather an intense deluge than a long, drawn out, dismal event.

    Florence coming to Philly?

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

    Saw a tweet (Northeast Weather HQ?) put out showing the 12z ICON taking Flo right up the Chesapeake and over top of us Saturday Night. 

     

    Of course not sure exactly how reliable that model is,  nor how reliable Northeast Weather is, but I will trust the NHC forecast than one model. 

    Well, the 12z ICON did show that, but I don't believe it's a very reliable model. There's a reason why the NWS and NHC use the Euro/GFS/NAM/UK/Canadian as their models. As much as I'd love to see the ICON scenario happen, it most likely won't.

    • Like 1

    E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2018 OBS Thread

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

    What's funny that I was just on a non-weather forum and someone had posted the WPC maps from yesterday and I had issues with what looked like a "stall".  I haven't gotten deeply into the models for Florence yet (I burned myself out last year tracking Harvey, Irma, & Maria) but will probably need to start looking more closely at the models for this and possibly Isaac. Helene looks to still be going OTS.

    The GFS (which doesn't seem meteorologically possible) destroys the OBX as she sits just offshore with days and days of hurricane force winds and rain. The Euro on the other hand brings her in at Wilmington, NC and then a slow crawl past Raleigh to the VA/NC border and kind of stalls her there where she rains herself out over that region.

    E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2018 OBS Thread

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

    Wowser!  Currently 55 this morning with 0.37" since midnight.  That is going to trigger some plant reactions (to go with the shorter days).  Ended up with a high of 69 just after midnight yesterday and a low of 60 yesterday just before midnight, with 1.75" of rain.

    Total precip here for the 3-day event is 3.23".

    Total precip for me is 0.36" and a rather chilly 54 degrees up here. Gonna get shafted some with Gordon's rain, and then, as it looks right now, Florence doesn't have a snowballs chance in hell of impacting PA at all with that crazy stall. The Euro track would be perfect if she'd just keep moving...

    Central PA Fall 2018

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    1 hour ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

    If Florence stalls out and dies in north carolina and virginia then we probably won't see too much rain from it I'd think. Couldn't imagine what would happen if it came up here after getting all of this rain from gordon ontop of the record rain we've had all year and all summer.

    I just looked at this mornings Euro and GFS.

    The Euro gets Florence's precip right to the Mason-Dixon Line, hammers Virginia with 15-25 inches, and then shuts it off, and the GFS, well...it's out to lunch as it keeps all the rain offshore, with a whopping 95 inches out over the open Atlantic...

    Hurricane Florence Catch all Thread

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

    Still time for the ridge to reorient itself and Florence to make an earlier north turn and miss the mainland. The Euro turned the storm a little sooner into NC instead of a Hugo track. But we’d want a strong trend east soon to discount serious impacts somewhere in the SE or Mid Atlantic. 

    I'm looking for the ridge to align itself so Florence doesn't stall, rides the Chesapeake, and heads straight into eastern PA before exiting New England...

    Central PA Fall 2018

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    47 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

    It’s great to see the Fall thread underway!

    The cool temperatures this weekend are a welcome relief from the 90’s that we had to endure this past week.

    The rain this weekend from Gordon’s remnants, followed possibly from the impacts of Florence later next week could be a massive problem for Central PA.

     

    For some, maybe.

    My area? I know better. We will miss a good chunk of Gordon's remnants to the west and north, and Florence's will never get here.

    Central PA Fall 2018

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

    I’ve had 4” at golf course in Fairfield last night / this morn.   Still closed.   Not looking good 

    And to think, I gotten a whopping 0.00" so far. For some reason, Tamaqua is known as the "Land of the Running Water", but I'm not sure why. Whenever we have a precipitation event, we are one of the areas with the LOWEST totals. Perhaps what they meant was that the water "runs away" from Tamaqua...

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