Voyager

4 hours ago, RedSky said:

I had snow in May 2020 because of polar vortex disruption

Forecast is two polar vortex disruptions  one this weekend which won't be resuming the arctic connection and another in two weeks. The second one the models say will bring the cold two weeks later. 

Just a forecast could be wrong we will see.

 

I remember the May 2020 snow. It was the weekend I tore my rotator cuff. The high, I believe that Saturday, was only in the 30's, and we did have flurries and snow showers in Tamaqua. Of course there was no accumulation, but it was the first and only time I saw snow in May.

6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I recorded 5" of snow between 4pm and 5pm along with multiple rounds of lightning and thunder. I was a senior in high school and was worried that I wouldn't graduate until July because of the storm. Fortunately it came on a Friday, so we missed that day but we were back on Monday with a delay. 

Why you old fart...lol

I was a only a freshman in high school that year, but at least I was old enough to remember the storm, and it was a doozy.

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

 I remember this storm very well. Original forecast was 1-3 than 2-4 till it was all set an done i received 18 inches. I think Harrisburg got 24 inches. There was Thunder and lightning during the storm. February 10-12th, 1983: 
Called the “Megalopolitan blockbuster snowstorm,” this major snowstorm impacted the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England. Snowfall of up to 25 inches fell in Allentown, Pennsylvania. Snowfall of 35 inches occurred in parts of the Blue Ridge Mountains of West Virginia at Glen Cary. Windsor Locks, Connecticut, recorded a record 19 inches in 12 hours. A ship sunk off the Virginia/Maryland coast, killing 33. There were 46 total storm-related fatalities.

I remember that storm well, too. I was living in Bethlehem, and we had two consecutive hours of 5" per hour snowfall, which is still the heaviest rate I've seen in my lifetime.

Currently sitting at 28 degrees this morning, which is not bad. The sad, and infuriating part for me, is that it appears that there will be no temperature rise today. Ugh...

To add insult to injury for this warmanista, after two early shift Fogelsville deliveries, I get to go up into the tundra that is Hazleton. That god-forsaken place that has an entirely different winter climate than most other places in Eastern PA.

9 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

You have to a long talk with mother nature again as it is cloudy all day again. You have to stress to her we need sunshine 

She doesn't listen to me, and in fact doubles down...lol

35 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

I woke up this morning to see NWS had changed my forecast to mostly sunny and was expecting a decent day.  It's been completely overcast and the north winds are howling.  Just went for a walk around Harrisburg at lunch and it was miserable haha.

There was a big time wind shift around 1:00pm in Hazleton. A West wind that was blocked by the water silos turned into a north wind that's now blowing a blizzard of the roof of the plant.

Of course the fallout ends up right where the unload hose hooks to the truck.

36 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

I dont go to other forums often at all, but hoping he gets the memo soon.

 

I go to the others to read their analysis, but rarely post in them. He's been in the two I mentioned. Not sure about NYC.

Just now, canderson said:

Brother you can ignore the troll so you don’t see the posts. It’s a great tool to hide the nonsense. 
 

Don’t let an idiot run you off! 

It is, as long as no one quotes him.

49 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Hang in there pal.  Just a newbie that needs to figure out how things roll in here.

 

I don't know. I think he's a troll. He's been mucking up at least the Philly and Mid-Atlantic forums for awhile, too. 

9 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

GFS looks like it wants to be done with winter entirely. 

Sounds like me and the GFS are on the same page.

Interesting little temp spike this morning. It was 30 at 4:00am, then it went up to 36 at 5:00am, and now back down to 33 at 5:45am.

3 minutes ago, canderson said:

Saturday’s sunny and 42 will feel like July. 

The fact that I'm loading the truck in just my hoodie and not the hoodie AND a winter coat speaks volumes. It's actually nice out, all things considered. 

1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Sorry to hear that Voyager but man I am so far from being able to relate to this post. The thought of looking out my window in early February and being depressed because my yard is white is so foreign to me I don’t even know where to begin haha. But to each their own. Hang in there pal. 

I hear ya, and yes, to each their own. While I can't totally relate to loving cold weather, it's cool that we all have our preferences.

1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of 19. My snowpack is a solid rock glacier, not sure a couple cloudy days in the mid to upper 30s is going to do much to it. Now, if we get sunny and 40 by the end of the week that will certainly help but still, this thing has staying power. 

It sure does, and each day that it stays is another day that I don't want to even leave my house. As it is, I generally open up the kitchen curtains each day to let light into the house, but right now, I've been keeping them closed as the view of the backyard depresses me.

1 hour ago, canderson said:

More 35-45 mph winds Tuesday night through Wednesday night. 

You've got to be kidding...

32 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

I guess we'll know in over a month what that looks like.

I hope it's sooner than that...

22 minutes ago, pawatch said:

-10° this morning. House is 65 degrees. Sitting down on my coal stove this morning. Sipping coffee

Monday and retired, no place I have to be. Stay warm!

+5 here, but as I moved the Wunderground map westward, I saw the crazy negative numbers to the west. It looked like mahantango was in the minus double digits as well.

8 hours ago, Albedoman said:

Its time you guys know who I really am. I have hidden my past experiences but you will hear much more about me in the upcoming months as I am dealing directly with data centers in municipalities. 

 

MY name Mike Siegel  aka the "albedoman -drought guy whatever" . I chose albedoman because my Uncle had to deal directly with the albedo effect when forecasting the potential for forest fires and temp regimes studies in the western US.  He wrote several papers on this topic as well as others and at one time directed the entire Western Region of NOAA. This person  underlined below is  my  weather mentor and also is my Uncle. He is 83.

I have degree in physical geography- concentration in atmospheric sciences and environmental science (not too many meteorology schols back in the late 70's) with  a minor in geology and post graduate work in satellite imagery with a ton of hours and certifications in Environmental science and urban planning. I was also an air traffic controller in the Navy. My resume is several pages long and have written magazine articles and publish papers at Penn State dealing with stormwater issues involving bioengineering and recently authored Lowhill Township's Zoning and Land Development Ordinances as their planning consultant.  I have been around the block.

I recently came out of retirement in 2025 to serve as the Township Manager of Lowhill Township, Lehigh County by accepting an offer I just could not refuse. I did retire in 2010  from Lower Providence Township in Montgomery County as their Director of Planning and Development and was the Building Codes  directer and zoning officer.

David E. Olsen was a meteorologist associated with the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS). Historical U.S. government and NOAA technical documents list him as the author of meteorological forecast reports such as “Forecasting Maximum Temperatures at Helena, Montana” dating back to the late 1960s, indicating he worked in operational forecasting and climate-related analysis for the Weather Service. Individuals like Olsen typically served as Meteorologist or Meteorologist in Charge at an NWS Weather Forecast Office, producing forecast guidance and contributing to regional temperature forecasts and related climatological studies.

 

I drive through your township almost every day hauling spring water down to the plant in Fogelsville. Look for me in a rust orange colored Mack pulling a 6,200 gallon tanker.

34 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Mostly below normal, would be surprised if at least one more PV intrusion doesn't take place

Actually, I appreciate your honest response, but it just ruined my birthday, and yes, I might need some mental help soon. I could have stayed in Arizona after my mom passed, in a beautiful ranch duplex, in a suburb of Phoenix, but I've been told over and over by the wife that if I did that, our marriage would be over. So I sold, and back to PA I came. And now look at me. A borderline ranting lunatic because of the excessive cold, which I hate with an unbridled passion.

Like I said, I can handle normal eastern PA winters, with cold periods interrupted by moderations and thaws. This I can't. 

24 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Mostly below normal, would be surprised if at least one more PV intrusion doesn't take place

Good God. I really need to move somewhere permanently warm. I can somewhat take an average winter. This I simply cannot.

14 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Unfortunately yes

3 polar vortex disrupting CME's in November, December and start of February with one of the top active ending solar cycles since the Carrington event. This could be a one in 500 year or more occurrence. Historic stuff studies will be done.

 

 

How does all this correlate to sensible weather?

22 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

Never! I will take 100-degree weather over this any day! Even fighting fire. 

I'm not a fire fighter, but I'm right there with you regarding summer heat vs winter cold.

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

We are in the thick of it. 7F and my auto fill home heating oil company let my tank run dry. The joys of home ownership. Sitting at 61F in the living room. Emergency oil fill on the way.

Any of you guys ever bleed a furnace oil line?

Ensembles signaling some wintry weather 15th then again 20th with another AO plunge and more winter for at least the remainder of Feb, tho weeklies and cfs stuff suggest March will be quite the ride. 

Are you serious? This is just going to keep on keeping on?

19 hours ago, canderson said:

Getting rid of the Jeep?

18 hours ago, Voyager said:

Yup. My wife can't get in it anymore, and I'm not going to wheel it as I don't have time. I/we need something practical again.

So this is what I got. A 2026 GMC Terrain AT4. So far I love it! It's so nice to drive a regular vehicle again. One that rides nice, doesn't get blown around in the wind, and people (especially my wife) can actually get in and out of.

9 hours ago, canderson said:

I really am hoping Wednesday is just plain rain. We need to wash all this salt off roads and parking lots. 

9 hours ago, SnowPlowGuy88 said:

I can agree with that. Went out this afternoon for a small grocery run. All the roads are plastered with salt residue. Absolutely disgusting looking 

I'm with both of you. There is so much residual salt on the roads here that you can't even see the lane markings.