Voyager

6 minutes ago, Ruin said:

It'll be nice to get it. But given the radar, Southwest is starting to dry up a bit. Unless it fills in, it looks like this. Snow's gotta cut off a little earlier

Are you kidding me? Look at the moisture feed coming up from all the way down in Houston. Not to mention the fact that it's snowing all the way back out west to Missouri.

5 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

Blizz, don’t you think that has to be over done for MDT and points south and east? I mean I’m praying and all but the mesos aren’t in the 12-16 range! 

Every one of the them but the NAM seem to be holding at 15-17 inches here, but...the caveat is that I'm probably farther northeast from any potential mixing. Not saying it can't, or won't, happen, but I suppose it's less likely here.

Update @ 6:00am

1.25"

38 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Just got up (4:30am), so I don't know when it started, but eyeballing a half inch under moderate snow.

Temp is a balmy 8 degrees here.

Looking at the historical graph from my weather station, temp held steady at 11 degrees until 3:05am when it started a decline to the current 8.1 degrees. I figure that's probably when it started here in my backyard.

4 hours ago, RedSky said:

A must for times like this

https://battaglia.ddns.net/twc/#

Don't forget to unmute

 

 

Super cool! Wish there was a way to share the actual feed. I want to put it on Facebook.

Just got up (4:30am), so I don't know when it started, but eyeballing a half inch under moderate snow.

Temp is a balmy 8 degrees here.

30 minutes ago, Physicsteve said:

On a more serious meteorological note, when should I drink this “Snowy Night” stout? Tonight, seeing as the snow starts overnight? Or do I have it early in the day tomorrow in the hopes of delaying the flip and having a snowy night on Sunday? Remember, the fate of the storm hinges on this decision. 

In that case, drink responsibly...

1 hour ago, canderson said:

Amen! And it’ll stick around a long while afterward too, which is pretty rare overall 

This.

Many times, big snows come at the end of a cold pattern, and half (or more) is lost to the warmer regime that follows behind after a couple days.

34 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

12z Euro is NOT backing the eff down!

LFG!!!

I love seeing this, but are the globals the way to go this close in?

3 minutes ago, pawatch said:

I’m not ready to jump ship. Still going to be a big snowfall. I can vouch that sleet blows good out of a snowblower   

Unfortunately I have to hand bomb whatever falls. I don't have a snowblower, as I only have basement storage, and I'm not bulling that thing up a flight of steps to get it outside.

51 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Here are the last 2 panels with anything significant, things lighten up by late evening for most.

Disheartening that even the GFS brings the mix into the Skook now. Earlier, it seemed only the NAM was doing that. 

2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Mix back through I-81 by tomorrow early evening.

What does the next panel show?

Just now, WmsptWx said:

I'll report back. I would be about 10-15 miles north.

I'm in it as well. 

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

21z tomorrow by 4 pm mix to around turnpike.

That's one hell of a thump just north of the mix line.

2 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

 I do sorta feel like a kid before Christmas right now. I've been flying high for a couple days. Really enjoyable when things improve, then hold and you get the days of fun looking at models and all the storm hype in the community etc.

It's funny you posted this. Yesterday at work, all day it felt like the last day of work before the Christmas off days. I was actually going to post it in my central PA thread, but didn't.

35 minutes ago, pl0k00n111 said:

My work was cancelled Monday, they actually turned it into a furlowed day. I joked saying watch us get nothing. But obviously the sleet and ice will make a dangerous situation.  

It's interesting that even I have no work scheduled for Monday. Usually with winter storms we still have work orders, and if we can,or choose to run, we can.

Just now, WmsptWx said:

I think the February 2010 storms were during a wall-to-wall cold regime where it didn't warm up until the weekend after the 9th. 

 

Here's my message to the public related to the roads: If you're not forced to be on the roads on Sunday, stay home. Football is at 300 and 630 PM, run to the store today to get your beer and snacks and stay off the roads. 

Monday will be an issue with the blowing and the drifting, the blowing and the drifting, but I suspect Governor Shapiro will use the space lazers his folk apparently have to torch the roads clean. 

Thanks! Some of those 2010 storms skunked the Skook if I remember right. As for the blowing and drifting, any place that doesn't taint is going to have problems into Tuesday, I think.

Help me out. I'm trying to figure out when we last had a major storm with temps as "wall to wall" cold as this one's going to be. I'm thinking either 93 or 96.

Most of the ones lately have been in the 20s to low 30s and as such most plowed roads melted off rather quickly. This one's not going to be so easy for the road crews nor the motoring public.

10 minutes ago, canderson said:

1-3

6-10

2-4

for me they say 

1

7-11

2-4

In Coalcrackerville.

9 minutes ago, BlueDXer75 said:

I think 10-12 is a good call for Berks County.  Maybe up to 14 depending on rates and change to sleet.  Regardless, this will become a glacier.  

And for areas that don't see sleet, some blowing and drifting will be problems with wind gusts up to 25mph after the storm passes.

4 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

From what I seen it looks like blowing and drifting will be a concern after 8am on Monday into Tuesday morning with 30 mph gusts.

Some of the roads we use on our routes are going to be problematic if that occurs. PA895 west of New Ringgold has a deep cut and will probably blow shut if Pendot doesn't stay on top of things. The road to our one well (the "well in the woods" that I show in my videos) traverses an open field that is township maintained and will probably blow shut as well. It may not be until Wednesday that we won't have major problems to deal with.

Ah. Gotcha. I don't have Wx Bell.

That's some serious heavy snow right there.

You know. I think we all need to slow down on posting here (and in other forums as well) because every storm thread is listed as "HOT". No wonder there's going to be mixing issues. We're heating things up and messing with the thermal profiles...

37 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

6z euro caved with mixing up to i80. 

Thinking 4-8" here is a good bet topped with sleet. 

Up to I-80 where? With 6 hour increments, I don't see mixing anywhere near I-80 except perhaps in New Jersey.