Sey-Mour Snow

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

I think my point was it(EPS) increased here from 6z.  I don’t need to jack pot, I like where where I am at the moment, and have for a while.  Let’s do it. 

Not about jacking, the further north it is the more mixing for southern 3rd of CT, you are just far enough north to be pretty solid no matter what unless this just goes wagons north.. 

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Did the axis really shift or is just more widespread and stronger now?

It shifted thats why I posted that it shifted .

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Actually that 12z EPS is even better here…

Much juicier yes , heaviest axis north though, I'd like to see that settle down over us tomorrow .. Not really worried with so much guidance south.. 

3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Looks more than 65, I say closer to 80

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

I measured it with radar scope, might get like 65.5 miles if you use your astronomer buddy's protractor. 

That's about a 65 mile shift north with the heavy snow axis on EPS.. Yikes 

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

This thing is hauling. It may be difficult for anyone to achieve more than a foot. I was thinking a 12-16 or 12-18 was certainly doable but that is going to be very difficult I think. 

I agree, that was just the high end tease of what’s possible .. 

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Playing with fire along 84 a bit initially but I’d hedge for less stream interaction on future runs.

I actually really like where we sit, with plenty of guidance south and GFS / EURO north ..

Ray just sitting back smiling after a 25" dopamine drip.. thats probably the best run yet for the entire New England forum 3-6" south shore that 12-18" just inland for most with an 18-24" stripe in all of NE mass

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro stays the course. Splitting hairs but a bit SE

lmao its way north 

RGEM looks great too, great start to 00z would be a crushing for all of SNE. 

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It is. But I’ve  noticed on all guidance the mid levels are pretty far removed from the center too. Obviously you don’t want it squashed , but just something I’ve noticed. 

ya from that primary tracking into West Virginia 

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

 

NAM actually looks excellent for that time frame

It's well south and looks good. 

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like it would be pretty good in SNE. 

Ya it just has the low pressure off of Carolina/VA coast at 84, thats pretty damn south.. But it has good precip well north. 

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

good. When it’s north, the short range mesos then typically follow.

ya its actually believable at 84.. same timing and thermals as the big boys.  Looks a bit weaker, south, and colder , but it's a possible solution I guess. 

FWIW long range NAM is way south and looks like it would be good for SNE extrapolated 

16 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Stock up on groceries for the 6 hour storm lol

 

only 6 hours of my daily 20 hour fast.. People could use a break from the constant insulin spikes.. 

9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah if metfan can squeeze an advisory snowfall out of this then that bodes extremely well for the SW CT crew. 

Lets get Kevins mega band from SWCT to CT to RAY and many people are happy 

The EURO control is replacing the current EURO as the new operational later this year I believe.. So I've been looking at that as well. The control is always very close to the current OP especially inside day 6-7.. Since 18z op only went out to 90 here's what the control had at 18z for the rest of the storm. 

2 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Another 100cm for Cape Breton? 

Verbatim its 40-70" widespread up there as this storm just occludes east of there and they get Kevins actual days and days of snow..

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

If you look at H7 RH/Temps/winds you can see by 12z Tuesday your death band is probably NW CT to ORH to Ray and just north. But man this is flying. Probably only get a few hours in the meat of it. Look at where it is at hr 90 and then again at hr 102. 
 

Usually your best bet in these is where it first develops as it elongates and develops before it matures and pivots east. Could be quite the punch from 4a to 12p across the region. 

8 hours from start to finish lol 

700mb track is awful for southern CT and all of south coast, be wary of those snow maps.. Great run 84 north .. 

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

ya exactly CT and pike south is favored on EPS for a plowable snow.. some are just a bit wary of those 10% way NW members ... 

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Look at the clusters. 

Ya the bullseye is def over us on the MEAN most members jack this area.. The confusing part is the amped NW members are pike north hits which throws off the other maps.. CT is the favored location on the EPS as most of the members have 6"+ there.. The 12" + super amped members (10% of the members) are pike north.. 

To be fair to @Damage In Tolland euro does have this starting 7-10pm Monday for CT , GFS is 3-6am Tuesday..  It's about a 6 hour thump verbatim with some light snow on either side of the thump .. 

48 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

0z add Navy to the whiffs, too. wow concerns

As the kids say .  You are doing too much bro