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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. It's actually pretty easy to predict a general 500mb pattern 8-12 days in advance most of the time.. The 12-15 is a bit more suspect but we do nail that well in advance sometimes.. The pattern that will lock into place mid next week for 7+ days was well forecast by ensembles starting at day 13-15 last week... Just because it doesn't snow doesn't mean that the forecasted 500mb pattern was wrong, sometimes we just get unlucky. In fact many torches are sniffed out well in advance usually by ensembles..
  2. Don't take away our fake cold "it's the only winter we've got"
  3. 12/14 and 12/7 BDR was 25 or below. .. BDR dropped below 30 degrees 8 times since November 1.. Found a few stations on the water in Branford and they dropped below 30 the past 2 days as well as well below 30 on 12/14 and 12/7 and 6 times in November .. First one being November 2nd..
  4. Control run is even closer to a bomb on New Years ..Then the Gorilla (Rain this run) on Jan 4th.. Regardless some colder threats showing up for the first time this season..
  5. One interesting thing I noticed is that the notoriously cold biased GFS is 0 to +1 for a 7 day anomaly at the surface for SNE day 10-16.. However at 850mb its like -5 to -10..
  6. Are we in search for cold and dry or snow?
  7. Pattern looks good, who cares about a jackpot at hour 384.. We wait on the Gorilla and hope for the best..
  8. EDIT GDPS has you pretty icy by hour 170 .. maybe some freezing drizzle for SNE Christmas eve morning
  9. Funny how we feel so defeated with the likelihood of another snowless December for many, yet I just realized it is still Fall for 11 more hours..
  10. Verbatim no snow but that’s a loaded pattern and cold for a change
  11. Just took a closer look wow pretty weeniesh . Very cold for January and even more February with a more active pattern in January drier in February
  12. GEFS look better again, some NAO blocking developing as well.
  13. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=OKX
  14. Sun poking out a bit, 3.71" Max gust seemed to be 50-55 in this area, about as expected.. No power outages in my town.
  15. EDIT that was not updated.. Just rechecked NWS reports many 55-65 in Western CT around 4-5am.. OXC 53mph 66 Stamford Coop.. 56 Meriden Airport
  16. Solid amount of trees and large limbs down. Had to do a little off-roading to get to gym.
  17. In regards to day 10-15 the GEFS have trended worse for sure over the past 24 hours. While GEPS and EPS look great.
  18. That’s all I got.. Idk why I can’t share actual images anymore
  19. I’ve been using this product for our social media posts. It’s been consistently 55-65mph for CT.
  20. Ya been almost 2 years now without any good events in any season. Hopefully tomorrow is the start of more exciting times
  21. Whats been exciting despite a 3-4” rainstorm in December while we were sleeping last Sunday ? Hopefully tomorrow AM other than that nada?
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