Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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GFS is a tic South again this run through 30 -
A widespread 3" + in southern CT would be the biggest storm since the Jan 22 blizzard miss. I'm pretty optimistic that we do see a widespread 3"+ down here ..
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Reggie is actually pretty consistent .. 850, 700, and surface lows all in general same spot, that run was just more amped with the goods.
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I don't see any reason to be conservative with the warm air aloft.. It's going to come flying in and north.. 3km has the right idea
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Wild 84 corridor is a degree or two between 700-800 from 12-18" of snow or less than 6"
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ya looks just like ICON and the warmest EURO solutions ..
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Just ran the 3km NAM 1 hr snow from my basement.. 5.3" of snow in one hour lol.. The 3km snow output total is from only 2-3 hours of snow, not good relying on 6" of snow to accumulate in 2-3 hours with borderline temps..
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Ya I agree, that run makes a lot of sense with the mid level tracks
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All guidance is adamant on a rather large band of extremely heavy snow moving through all of SNE..
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Ya warm nose gets just north of 84 at the peak before crashing down with heavier rates.. would still get 6"+ for most of CT as it pounds right after that.. 12km much cooler..
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If we can lock this in verbatim I'll forgive this winter forever. Would be 2-3"+ for several hours in daylight.. Too bad its long range hrrr..
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Def would love a tic south at go time from this
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Ya gfs has been so consistent . Would be awesome for it to score a coup
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Ok not bad just loaded for me
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Hot as in rain ☔️ ? I’m only out to 39
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00z Super cold at surface not much precip compared to globals and obviously well south. Just another option on the table, if mesos hold the southern course then it’s going to be a load bath tomorrow to see what wins out. for Also no wind to speak of on NAM
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EPS loves the Pike
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Timing with this also correlates to the warmth and lesser totals south.. Timing really moving up again on EURO ..
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It feels horribly wrong but it's 100% true with this storm.. EURO has been jumpy all season so it's no surprise.. Funny I might owe an apology to the ICON if it's ends up right.. 18z EURO a lot closer to ICON than any other guidance is..
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Some are delusional with beer. The EURO (aka the new NAM) has ticked 100 miles north today in 2 runs .. We will just follow GFS which seems to be more stable .. Stay the course for now, EURO simply can't be trusted check out the run to run consistency at every layer just putrid..
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congrats albany that was an awful run for CT now many see where the worry comes, back to back warm bumps on EURO 12z and 18z
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18z euro is an example of the worry for southeners lmao
