Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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ya it was .20" qpf yesterday for too big of an area, but timing wise it had the right idea, also things might be trying to tick back up qpf wise we shall see.. Euro was off with timing and has runs of .04 qpf too dry
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It'll get cold quick overnight, if we get the same rates as Wednesday it'll stick to most roads. If only get modest rates then ya just side roads and colder surfaces, however I think this might come in as a quick 2-3 hour thump again..
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Looks like GFS leading the way on this one, with qpf amounts and with timing.. NAM's run to run changes are laughable every 6 hours.. could be a slick morning in CT again just 2-3 hours later and on a Sunday
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Ensemble charts being this toasty are good for those wanting warmth.
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You are the pack leader in CT for sure. My pack is down to 4-8” .. 54 degrees here. The shore up to 84 will be wiped out this coming week.
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Starting to look like southern ct may see the most qpf on this one, instead of 2-3.5” like Wednesday this should be more like 1-2.5”.. One more shot of snow Tuesday PM, then the big melt starts Wednesday / Thursday .
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Torch AWT! 53 .. Grass showing up in spots feels like 70 out in the sun
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Still all over the place. It’s south now but less impressive again, Wednesday did this too before game time then overperformed. Let’s see if it ramps back up
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Euro 18z was better.
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Tomorrow hopefully unless things diverge again.
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18z guidance looked good for SNE
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Wild, models still all over the place , hrrr rains here. Euros coating
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What kills me to this day is that I missed Nemo and the 38-40” around here I was in Norwalk for the entire storm working so didn’t get to witness the incredible several hour whiteout of 6” + rates for several hours back home. May never happen again here, but I think we will have our chances.
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It is.
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Same , guidance is all over the place will need til tomorrow to get a good idea.
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It’s slowly going north last 4 runs, it’s an outlier on timing though
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GFS back to being shitty? it's like 6 hours earlier than NAM's
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Cool graphic on Tomer’s page. Strong signal for a torch .. except for us, lack of the black shading indicates there is much more uncertainty for us warm sectoring - while Central Jersey is 75 we could be stuck in the 30s/40s.
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NAM is juiced
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as cold as it’s been here , the Midwest will now have their third extended torch of the winter. Guidance showing a +20 10 day stretch for Midwest and Great Lakes
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45 degrees pack down the about 12”
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Did you clear that whole area during the last storm? Not much pack there?
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Ya but it’s ramping up a bit . Northern ct to CN look in a good spot now clouds be a repeat of yesterday except 50 miles north
