Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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Nice good for you George lets get you to a foot.
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Ryan literally wrote back to you.
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won't be high enough I'm afraid @4Seasons @WinterWolf and ginx may pull 12"+
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6.3" ... 2.1" last 30 min ... 4.2" per hour rates!
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IF big IF this continues until 7:30am someone will have a foot.. already 5-6" widespread...
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this heavy stuff ends between 7-8 northwest to southeast
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6"+ will be widespread by 5am south and east of 84..
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4.2" band built north a few miles to save my area for a little bit longer hopefully..
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3.7" .7 in 15 minutes for 2.8" per hour rate 40-45 dbz.. hrr looks to slip this south then reinvigorate overhead before moving everything east after 7am, should be an overperformer for many just SE of 84.
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3.0” 40dbz over our area. Wheeeeeeees @The 4 Seasons nailed last Super Bowl analog!! Enjoy CT folk hopefully everyone gets this band
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Final call staying the course just mentioning potential for 8”+ if a quasi stationary band does develop.
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The east low is stronger by 2 mb at hour 8 on HRRR. Banding is much more in line with the 12z, 18z runs, much more robust again on 00z than the previous 5 runs..
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Do you know when ?
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chased again but end result about the same maybe a tic snowier...
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There are several massive ENE hits in there like 18"+ at 10:1
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21z and 22z runs have really cut back and pushed east.. still like 3-5" in CT at 10:1
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Well the spread now is like 3-6" vs 6-10"
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Question guys? I know we don't like to use ensembles this close in, but what do we think about the GEFS really ramping up at this stage? Quite a few more really amped members and a very high mean compared to the last 15-20 runs, I know it usually follows its op run, do you guys think it's just noise following the op run, or showing the potential of this ramping up more at 00z?
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Doesn't mean anything for us, it's going west of us and will transfer to coastal.
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what site do you use?
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Seems like we still get the heavy band but it’s a bit quicker to go through here
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that looked solid, an end to the american guidance nightmare for us at 12z
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I don't think it matters how robust it is for me and you, it's all about when the transfer occurs, we need that to trend earlier for us.. bc if it doesn't we get the 7-10 split. the good runs pulled the stuff from the west right over us plus the developing coastal moisture..
