Nope and CMC didn’t help, or the GEFS . Tried to tell them my worries. Hopefully Tip can real this back west for all of us and we can all escape with a plowable few inches. Will be there first of the year for many.
Heights were lower along the east coast very early on, not a good sign, we hold out hope til 12z tomorrow like Tip says, but my fears of a whiff (esp WOR) are starting to materialize more..
Yes I agree, euro has been absolutely dreadful in a few storms this year. GFS was late to the party on this one so nod to euro on that. Let’s see which is more consistent in the lead up to the storm. They are about equal now in my eyes.
6z euro came back west from 00z by about 25 miles, goes a bit east of BM.
also a good bit stronger than 00z 25 mb drop in 18 hours.
nice for eastern areas.
also looks to be chasing convection to east like 00z but it’s def a bit west.
Too Far East for those near NY border if we keep trending East. Overall it’s fine verbatim just pointing out some possible trends. 18z is known to be an off Euro run so let’s see.