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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Also I think the school delays in southern CT will turn into closing solely on bad timing.
  2. Really dumb I think, with the flash freeze potential we have more chance at hazardous travel than Long Island.
  3. Let’s see what 18z hrrr does , I’ve noticed the 0z 6z 12z 18z to be more in line with each other while in between runs waffle.
  4. Nice, yesterday really busted here cold wise was supposed to be lows in the teens and highs in the 20s. Ended up high 35, low 21. Today low 19 high 41 so far.
  5. Lows in the single digits for SNE and barely below zero in CNE is not impressive for January.
  6. This is without the 1-3” tomorrow. So basically nothing Saturday on EPS besides islands and extreme south east mass and this is the snowiest solution for the weekend.
  7. I think the problem is its mostly just central CT that is close to climo after we hopefuly get a few inches tomorrow we should be around 20" which is half climo with half the winter to go.. everyone else is way behind ..
  8. ya no goodski, the 3 run trend on the mesos besides hrrr is cut back 25% each run...
  9. It's definitely concerning 3km is like 3 hours of snow compared to the 8 hours we were looking at yesterday..
  10. I'm definitely not throwing it out, maybe weight it 50% and the rest of the hi-res 50%. Sucks the nams were a widespread 4-7" yesterday.. they are pretty dry now.. 1-3" iso 4 for SE two thirds of CT may be the way to go here.
  11. NAM and 3km have definitely shifted well south with the goods, after the nice 12z and 18z runs, however it seems to spread the 1-2" accumulations farther north.. HRRR seems to be on amped island by itself..
  12. Guidance converging on a 1-3 maybe 2-4" type deal Thursday AM for southern areas of SNE. Timing looks like 1-11am from west to east. However, surface temps look borderline to start, with temperatures 35-40 late Wednesday evening, this is likely to be a wet snow at first before temps really drop. Let's see how things trend today, 6z Euro finally getting on board for something light, while GFS and NAM are the most aggressive.
  13. Will, what do you think of the 3km and HRRR being so cold, big difference down here in CT as well...
  14. I actually enjoy your day 6 threads, keep them coming!
  15. Euro snow depth algorithm says you keep 2-4" of pack.. It's forecasting 6" tomorrow night for you though, but it has you starting with just .1 today, I'm sure you have more than that glacierized since we have about 50% coverage up to an 2" here.
  16. Seems like 9z would be a good cutoff for frozen for southern CT maybe 10-12z by the time you get to NE corner?
  17. Ya, anything is better than all rain especially if we can mute the heavy rain to less than a quarter of an inch, and keep from torching..
  18. GFS verbatim is mostly snow for Kevin, only .1 to .25" qpf as rain.. again thats just 12z gfs verbatim
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