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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. 3.7" .7 in 15 minutes for 2.8" per hour rate 40-45 dbz.. hrr looks to slip this south then reinvigorate overhead before moving everything east after 7am, should be an overperformer for many just SE of 84.
  2. 3.0” 40dbz over our area. Wheeeeeeees @The 4 Seasons nailed last Super Bowl analog!! Enjoy CT folk hopefully everyone gets this band
  3. The east low is stronger by 2 mb at hour 8 on HRRR. Banding is much more in line with the 12z, 18z runs, much more robust again on 00z than the previous 5 runs..
  4. Question guys? I know we don't like to use ensembles this close in, but what do we think about the GEFS really ramping up at this stage? Quite a few more really amped members and a very high mean compared to the last 15-20 runs, I know it usually follows its op run, do you guys think it's just noise following the op run, or showing the potential of this ramping up more at 00z?
  5. I don't think it matters how robust it is for me and you, it's all about when the transfer occurs, we need that to trend earlier for us.. bc if it doesn't we get the 7-10 split. the good runs pulled the stuff from the west right over us plus the developing coastal moisture..
  6. It has to get going quicker then the 12z guidance today. That’s the issue for us today, gets going too late.
  7. Ya cut back from .65qpf at 6z in western areas to like .18 big drop off. Just got going way to late you can see early in the run.
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