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Burghblizz

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Everything posted by Burghblizz

  1. Burghblizz
    Icon is a mauling. 15”-20” forum wide with tongue back in WV where it belongs.
  2. Burghblizz
    Of course it also depends on where that guy was.
  3. Burghblizz
    Who was the one having lunch? I think that was probably an intentional exaggeration to highlight he thought it still might be come NW
  4. Burghblizz
    I like that it gives close to the same output for most of us, despite a different path than GFS. GFS has 20”+ where Euro has that tongue signature. Would be sweating it more in through there.
  5. Burghblizz
    Cliff notes on new NWS AFD…. 50/50 shot at >10” in Pgh with higher probability south.
  6. Burghblizz
    Charleston on that early
  7. Burghblizz
    Definitely a known bias. And again I have to think the with the majority of the guidance still with plenty of room to the south, I don’t hate it. Let’s smell the sleet and take a swing!
  8. Burghblizz
    But that’s the warmest of the guidance and still brings double digit snows. Sometimes that solution would be the “one in our camp” knowing that we are going to lose it.
  9. Burghblizz
    GFS to me looks like not quite the phase, but gets the job done. Might trade some rates for longer duration, but looking like 12+ into SW Pa.
  10. Burghblizz
    If that happens…and it’s a big if….antecedent cold is more than typical. So I think the results would still be good, even if it ends with some mix.
  11. Burghblizz
    Euro is Amped!
  12. Burghblizz
    Honestly, I’d probably throw out the Ukie at this point. Seriously doubt the inland low plows into that high pressure like that. I’m going to continue to root for the others to come north. The GFS was just a correction. It’s not going to continue to jump at that pace given the other guidance out there. We have a lot of wiggle room on the others
  13. Burghblizz
    If it snows 18”, I won’t care what happens after the last flake falls :-)
  14. Burghblizz
    I think because we went from the outside looking in to firmly in the game. So it feels like more time for it to get better
  15. Burghblizz
    Anyone have Ukie Kuchera just for fun. Thats likely way over amped (I doubt it drizzles Sunday). But I bet that’s a nice 15”+ before that.
  16. Burghblizz
  17. Burghblizz
    Less clown maps in those days. It was a lot of looking at the QPF and assuming. I remember seeing 2.5” or so modeled at one point.
  18. Burghblizz
    I believe it was over 2”. It wasn’t a high ratio storm
  19. Burghblizz
    It’s shown that elongated backside a few runs
  20. Burghblizz
    Gfs a big improvement over 12z. I think the 6” line is back to M/D line in western pa. I think this storm has been talked about so much already, it’s easy to forget it’s still 4+ days out.
  21. Burghblizz
    Let’s face it. If we’re in the middle of a wide swath of 12+ and it were 5 days out, that would wind up in Toronto. This has to come north. Right?
  22. Burghblizz
    Several nice bands drifting in from the west
  23. Burghblizz
    I feel like we got like 1-2” in single digits in December of (I think) ‘22. It was pretty impactful on the roads.
  24. Burghblizz
    Bit of a crazy gradient here with that storm. I think it was officially 10”, but it ramped up quick south and east. Some places south would have gotten their 3rd 20” storm in less than 3 years (this after a very slow period in the late 80s, early 90s) Mixed feelings on it overall. I lived in Oakland and had a solid foot. But obviously one of the impactful storms ever in terms of the amounts it dumped on highly populated areas. Tough to see others getting 20 and 30”
  25. Burghblizz
    Glad we had a good start! Normally, this is where I feel like the days can get away quick. Warm up next week, then suddenly it’s mid January. Good to be sitting on 20”+ as opposed to 4 or 5”.
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