dendrite

It's south right now. We'll see how long it lasts. Kp is down to 5 after maxing at 8 a couple hours ago.

Noctilucents clouds > aurora?

 

https://twitter.com/NWSSeattle/status/608232353488502785

There still appears to be a faint greenish glow to the north with the naked eye.

In the Lakes Region? That's awesome.

03 was insane. I was working in Bedford at the time. It wasn't even dark yet and the show was amazing. Lots of pinks and greens like Eek's pic.

Does the human eye see this. The pics out of Finland are surreal

I saw stuff like that in 2003.

I noticed the faint green on the northern horizon earlier too.

Yeah? Wow, I didn't realize that. I only had a passing interest back then, so I don't think I spent more than a few moments looking upward for that one. It's pretty incredible to read the accounts of zenithal coronas over Chicago and NYC in 1859, 1882, etc., knowing how difficult it is to even see diffuse greens on the horizon.

 

I got lazy and hooked my camera up to an intervalometer for some warmup time indoors. Will check again in a bit.

Time for Eek to post his 2003 corona.

That period of higher density and lower Bz from an hour ago should be here by now.

 

Too bad these troll squalls won't leave me alone.

Clear here and nada.

God damn Bz trying to pull its usual well timed flip.  Maybe it'll level out.

 

 

Bz flirting positive now.

That not-so-perfect period a few hours ago led to the slight kp drop.

 

Bt is climbing and Bz is dropping. Looks really good.  Wouldn't be surprised if it went back to 8, just need the density to stop dropping.

 

Get the camera ready. I'm contemplating turning the wx camera more northerly and upward tonight.

Kp "down" to 7 at 21z.

The euro has busted before and will bust again. Boxing Day '10 is another example except that one went in everyone's favor. It's not infallible. The biggest problem is that it was so consistently wrong. Had it flopped around a couple of runs it would've been easier to discount it. I went to bed not expecting much after the big cave east last night...even though it still creamed me. Consensus usually wins.

euro was correcting East for several runs in a row . Rgem shifts twice in a row more of us should have jumped

Crush job at 18z. Full on blizzard conditions given the 900 mb wind speeds too.

Sorry to those to the west.....wouldn't want to be in their forums right now.

Nice hit for E NH, E MA, and ME though.

Euro caves quite a bit.

This thing is still east of the Delmarva and it's getting written off. All I'm saying. It's heading due north right now. Not northeast.

I'm only posting what the GFS is showing. I'm not saying I buy it or the RGEM. I can't imagine the Euro busting that badly in 1 run at T minus 0. I'm enjoying the model mayhem...it keeps met jobs.

b**ch and whine whether its cold and dry or a blizzard. I think I need a break. It's no fun

Easy to say when you're in one of the perfect spots for this. Many on here were under 24-36" and are in danger of getting the rug pulled out under them. lol

Hey kids...so you wanna be a meteorologist?

Still a good hit for ENE, but my condolences to WNE.

I think the euro is going to cave harder than we think tonight.

GFS going pretty far east from 18z.

Does Kev get his RGEM wish? lol

Ray FTW

You have a map for the rest of the region?

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ewallhires.html

TTN went from >2.00" QPF to 0.25" on the 4km NAM. Ouch.

NYC already has up to 6" from earlier today, so another 12" would bring some to 18" by itself, and that's doable with 12-1 ratios and 1" liquid. Obviously anywhere east of there is still in for a crushing regardless. 

Well aware. NYC was in that meso band for awhile. I'm talking more south of the city into E NJ.