dendrite

27 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

after may 05 this happened: 

We're due for a shiat May and torch June.

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Pretty colors at 500 FTL

lol...try to twist those maps into something warm and pleasant.

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah I have to imagine given the large scale closed center, the May '77 event would be forecast fairly well today inside of 3 or 4 days...though the snow amounts themselves would prob be under-forecast given that most of the snow in that event did fall in about 5-6 hours. An interesting fact in that one is that ORH at 1000 feet never got to freezing...their lowest temp was 33F and they still accumulated 12.7 inches.

 

The obs had 32F all during the day until late afternoon...probably warmed to one of those 32.6F deals.

https://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KORH/1977/5/9/DailyHistory.html?req_city=Worcester&req_state=MA&req_statename=&reqdb.zip=01602&reqdb.magic=12&reqdb.wmo=99999

May can correlate if the blocking is extreme enough.

26 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Looks like your locale is near the line between 0.5-1.0 and 1.0-1.5, which over 6 weeks would be significant, and could come in two ways, lots of cool rain or frequent shots of crisp Canadian CAA.  The first is miserable for all; the second means late frosts for many.  Have not had a June frost here in 10 years.

I mean it's a pretty ugly look. You can put a little lipstick on the pig and say that it probably won't rain as much under the upper low as the models say it will, but otherwise the chamber is not happy.

At least nearly all the snow is gone in your CWA; it would probably take 4"+ RA to cause serious issues beyond the small streams.  However, there's still considerable pack beneath the evergreens at 46.5N and points north.  The 3.4" rain of 4/29/08 did little around here but blew away flood flow records in the St. John country.

1.5 month temp anomalies don't tell you much, but the next 2 weeks could easily give you that -1F leaving the following few weeks normal to above. I've already conceded May through mid month. Of course, we're talking a d46 2m ens mean which is equivalent or worse than a d16 op prog.

Ah...the admiral of arctic. The next couple of weeks look meh, but I'm not too worried about 2m temp anomalies of -0.3C over the next 46 days. Give me some consistent westerly flow/high pressure and sun by mid month and those temps would be nice.

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Well..let's do.. Let's call for and prepare for a historic late season snow event. Can envision widespread grid problems with leafed out trees.

Nah. Trough axis west. Just cool with dews.

6 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

Crap, we just can't get through a spring without the pinwheel of doom. May is going to suck!

I don't think I've had a BN May since 2007 and I think that was barely BN. We've had some nice ones recently.

We're due for a crappy May

All in fun Steve...we win some, we lose some.

On 4/26/2017 at 0:37 PM, Ginx snewx said:

yea couple days near 80, pretty meh

Get that **** outta here.

On 4/26/2017 at 2:39 PM, Ginx snewx said:

Based on the latest Euro with clouds and even showers around I'll take the under on Mex

PVD 87 FTW

20 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

Jesus. Keep checking wxbell every day to find nice weather. Few and far between.

Have you been outside the past 2 days?

Heh...looks like the IR light never kicked on for my sky camera which explains why it was seeing light on the horizon versus the usual foreground.

Nothing really going on, but there's a really strong red glow through the overcast to my north. MWN is socked in too so no AURBO chance there. Maybe it's just some strong red light scattered through the low overcast, but I don't recall ever seeing the northern horizon lit up like this on my cam before.

MEX has 83F at BDL Saturday...not sure an 87-88F would be a huge MOS failure.

I think MOS is low. SW flow may taint the heat along the s coast and iyby. 

I'd take those numbers up. Wouldn't shock me if some torch spot pulled 87-90F.

25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

looks like Friday and Saturday are the warm days but those 18 C 850 temps were cut almost in half for you

Yeah...muted heat up here, but Saturday could be really hot down there. Looks like 12-13C up here on the GFS. That'll still be warm.

Looks like a good drink today. Just when the basement dries out we get another incher. At least the lawn is enjoying it.

I'm surprised NJ didn't kill it sooner.

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

600yrs, that's incredible. And to think that wood is going to MPMs house.

Decades of painstakingly splitting wood. There'd be no time to worry about QPF.

lol

All those people in there dead from the 1700s were probably cursing the acorns from that damn tree too. I bet their corpses have been trying to strangle those roots for centuries. They finally killed it.

Haven't looked a lot down there, but I'll take Sun over Sat for up here.

1 hour ago, Whineminster said:

looks poopy until then though, this weekend is a dud. 

Sunday may not be that bad.