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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. 23° Steady -SN That fronto looks tasty
  2. Precip shield is already pretty ragged into E PA. That slot is hauling.
  3. That’s a nice fronto band from BUF to SYR…get that up here.
  4. Yeah some of that low CC is washing out in NE PA.
  5. Before the upslope sun night? Maybe 3-5”? There should be some decent fluff squeezed out in the mtns tomorrow. Then the NW kicks in.
  6. Yeah there’s some weird ranges in there. Maybe the doge kids got into the code.
  7. I just mean it can get a little unstable on the nose of that dryslot. Not sure what you’re implying that I’m implying. lol
  8. Maybe you guys can get a flash or two just ahead of the dryslot.
  9. Again I don’t read too much into that. Maybe it’s a little behind reality, but I think 4pm won’t be far off from the gist of this.
  10. All models punch the dryslot through there toward 9z. It can be your friend too…it’s aiding in that enhanced forcing. There’s really good lift H7-H5.
  11. I don’t read too much into the sfc ptype stuff. Keep in mind sim radar and sfc ptype intensity won’t always line up. TT maps seem a little coarse too. 3k seemed in the ballpark with CLE radar. But there’s some convective precip and brightbanding down there so it’s tough to compare.
  12. He meant trough to our west. EPS is cold though.
  13. Yeah it always looks like a d5 ensemble mean and misses the details. I'd probably trust its QPF stuff more for the mid range.
  14. Well the 12z NAM was pretty good up here. But the mid-level fronto just depends on the system track...it's not like we're really geographically favored over them climatologically in a system like this. I'd like to see the euro have a few weenie hours up here after midnight.
  15. We’ll see how 12z goes, but right now I’d lean on the best fronto being MHT to FIT. It’s close enough to keep the weenie hope up here. I’d like a little bump north this morn.
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